Ryan Moore at Royal Ascot: The verdict on my six rides on day two of the Royal meeting

Ryan Moore has six booked rides on day two of the Royal meeting at Ascot
Ryan Moore has six booked rides on day two of the Royal meeting at Ascot

Day two of the Royal meeting at Ascot sees Ryan Moore take six rides during the afternoon, and here the Betfair Ambassador talks exclusively about each race and his chances of bagging a winner or two...

17:00 Ascot - Convey

"He is officially 7lb well-in, with the prospect of further improvement to come, and that tells you all you need to know on the form front."

14:30 Ascot - Forge

He obviously has a lot to find on form with most of these, but he is a colt we have always liked. He beat a fair sort by five lengths in his Doncaster maiden in April and then he was stepped up in class into listed company at Sandown last time. He may have disappointed some people there as he was made favourite, but he ran well enough to finish third to a good horse in Zonderland and that was all valuable experience for him.

Perhaps there is more to come from him back in trip and on this easier surface - it was fast ground at Sandown - but there will need to be, as he has 10lb or so to find with some of these. He looks a useful prospect, though.

15:05 Ascot - Roly Poly

Is a superbly-bred filly, being by War Front out of the stable's three-time Group 1 winner Misty For Me, and she made a winning debut at Naas back in April. She didn't look to go on from that when a petty well beaten fourth to stablemate Caravaggio at the Curragh last time, though I would like to think that was a pretty strong listed race.

If the softer ground was to blame for her performance that day then she is up against it here - though her dam loved soft ground - but I wouldn't be in a rush to write her off on the back of that Curragh effort.

It looks like Lady Aurelia has been all the rage for this race, and you can see why. I won this race on Wesley Ward's Acapulco last year and he has been making all the right noises about this Keeneland winner. If she is as well-developed, forward and fast as Acapulco was last season then we are all in trouble, and don't forget that he also took this race with the five-length winner Jealous Again seven years ago.

Normal comments apply to this race in that we have a lot of unexposed fillies in the race likely to take a big step forward, so you have to give the likes of well-regarded Catterick winner Queen Kindly and Goodwood scorer Kachess a chance, and probably a few more besides.

15:40 Ascot - Miss Temple City

I think we could all be playing for places in this race to be honest, as I expect Usherette to win. I was impressed by her when she won the Dahlia Stakes at Newmarket last month. She may be unproven on soft ground but she is trained in France, and trained by a genius, so I don't think that will be a problem.

If she doesn't run as I expect - and Integral's defeat in this race last season showed us horses can and disappoint, as I thought she was a certainty - then hopefully I have as good a chance as any.

Miss Temple City is clearly unproven with dig in the ground but she ran a great race when fourth in the Coronation Stakes on fast ground last season and she proved her worth again when winning a Grade 1 win in Keeneland last time. The problem is that carries a 5lb penalty for that win here, and that makes life tough for her.

Lucida was beaten under a length in the Coronation Stakes last season and has chances if coming back to that form, but Always Smile could be a bigger danger. She is progressive and obviously the form of her neck defeat of Convey in the Hambleton at York last time off a mark of 105 has been franked since. This step up in class is justified for her.

16:20 Ascot - Found

Everyone seems to be coming to the conclusion that A Shin Hikari is a certainty in the Prince Of Wales's Stakes, and he may well be. But I don't think that he is past the post just yet.

If we get more rain then it wouldn't suit the The Grey Gatsby - and we lost Covert Love from the race on Sunday, and Time Test wasn't declared on Monday morning because of the ground - and there wouldn't be a great deal of depth to the race.

And we know how good the Japanese horse is. I saw at first hand in the Hong Kong Cup at Sha Tin in December when I finish second to him on Nuovo Record. A Shin Hikari got loose on the lead and recorded some stunning fractions, and then found again at the finish, and only top-class horses can do that. So he probably wasn't fully appreciated when he went to the Prix D'Isphahan, though of course no-one was expecting that runaway win.

He could be unbeatable but it will be a different test for him around here, and I haven't given up hope of beating him on Found just yet.

We know that my filly is a proper Group 1 horse from her performances last season, and a versatile one, too, and I think 1m2f and cut in the ground will suit her just fine. Things haven't really fallen for her in her last two starts, though there is no disgrace in finishing second to the horses of the calibre of Fascinating Rock and Postponed. And my filly has run two excellent races around here, too. Yes, I haven't given the race to the Japanese horse just yet.

17:00 Ascot - Convey

If you guaranteed me good ground right now, then I would tell you that Convey is a very worthy favourite for the Hunt Cup, even from stall 33. But my confidence would not be anywhere near the same level if it turns out to be nearer soft by race-time, which of course it could well be. In fact, I would be pretty downbeat, to be honest.

But, given decent ground, he has an obvious chance. Everyone saw how unlucky he was in the Hambleton Stakes at York and everyone saw how he put up an improved performance when a neck second to Home Of The Brave in a Group 3 at Haydock last time, including the handicapper. He is officially 7lb well-in, with the prospect of further improvement to come, and that tells you all you need to know on the form front.

But this is a Hunt Cup, with a massive field, so you can't go overboard, and then you have the draw to contend with, too, and you can't get more extreme than mine.

17:35 Ascot - Diploma

I haven't ridden her yet but she certainly looked to have progressed well from last season when scoring impressively at York last month. Whether or not that was just a touch too impressive we will see, as she has gone up 10lb for that win in a six-runner race. But the runner-up went into that race on a hat-trick, and she beat her comprehensively.

That victory came over an extended 1m2f, so she also has to contend with stepping back in trip in a deeper race. But she is improving and unexposed, has form with cut, so let's hope there is more to come.

You can read Tony Calvin's Royal Ascot Day 2 Tips behind the link.

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