Ruler of the World is heavily fancied to repeat his Derby victory at the Curragh on Saturday evening and Ryan Moore - who was in the saddle at Epsom - is finding it difficult to argue with the market...
"You never know with horses backing up from Epsom to the Curragh – and we are dealing with some lightly-raced and late-maturing horses with improvement in them - but personally I would be surprised if he didn’t confirm the Epsom form."
There is a common misconception that the Curragh presents a stiffer test of stamina for a horse than Epsom, so anyone who thinks that Libertarian and Galileo Rock are going to reverse the Derby form with Ruler Of The World purely because of the nature of the track is barking up the wrong tree.
The standard times for the courses show that Epsom is the stiffer test and a look at some of the times recorded in the respective Derbies present a far more extreme picture.
Workforce won at Epsom in a record time of 2m 31.33 secs three years ago, but I looked back and saw that St Jovite won the Irish Derby in 2m 25.6 secs, so I think I know what is the greater speed test!
Yes, I know that everyone will be more alive here if there is a slow early pace in the race, but one of the positives about Ruler Of The World is that he is such an adaptable, straightforward horse, who stays and has a turn of a foot.
Some people were talking in St Leger terms about the horse after he won at Chester, so I don't think a stronger gallop and pace would inconvenience him at all.
In fact, it may even play into his hands, as the change of gear he showed for me at Epsom was very impressive, as well as a touch surprising. And you shouldn't forget just how easily he won for me there as well; I think the emphatic nature of his victory got lost in the post-race discussion of Dawn Approach's failure and the over-analysis of the pace angle.
Though the jury is still out on the strength of the Derby form - it is too early to tell - I think he is a good horse all right and hopefully he will show that at The Curragh.
You never know with horses backing up from Epsom to the Curragh - and we are dealing with some lightly-raced and late-maturing horses with improvement in them - but personally I would be surprised if he didn't confirm the Epsom form.
Trading Leather could be his biggest threat. He looks another straightforward horse and a pretty tough one, too. He was impressive when beating Lines Of Battle over 1m2f here last time and he could prove to be the favourite's main danger if staying this extra 2f. But at least it isn't the stiffest 1m4f here, eh?