The second day of Newmarket's Craven meeting sees Ryan Moore with a full book of seven rides, and here the Betfair Ambassador talks exclusively about the chances of each one...
"He is related to a couple of fair winners who stayed this trip well, so hopefully the 1m2f won't be an issue, and the boss likes to target this race with a promising 3yo handicapper."
13:50 - Reputation
I haven't sat on him before so I don't know a great deal about him, to be honest. He doesn't look to have too much, or anything, in hand of the handicapper from what I have read, as he is 7lb higher than when winning at Leicester last August, before just being touched off under a 6lb penalty on the July course afterwards. But 6f and good or quick ground seems to be what he wants, and the first-time blinkers are presumably expected to help, too.
14:25 - Whitecliffsofdover
This looks a very close-knit Free Handicap and a lot will obviously depend on how straight they are, especially as none of these have had a recent run. And it remains to be seen if first-time headgear and gelding operations have the desired effect with some, though nothing really stands out at you from the weights.
So let's concentrate on my horse. He is rated 108 after four juvenile starts and he improved with his racing, just being touched off in the Tattersalls Stakes over course and distance and then finishing third to National Defense over 1m in the Group 1 Lagardere, where I think it is fair to say we were maybe expecting a little bit more.
It could be that the step back to 7f will suit him, and decent ground suits him well. I do like Sir Dancealot in here as well, and his form ties in pretty closely with my horse.
15:00 - Autocratic
Again, this looks a very tight race on paper, and you can make a case for them all. I suppose the official marks suggest that I am the hardest horse to fancy being the lowest rated in here on just 102. But he is a horse the boss has always liked and he rounded off last season with a good handicap win at York.
Physically, he was always going to be a horse who would get better with age, as he strengthened up and matured, and I can see him developing into a Group horse this season, which is why we are here I suppose. However, the fact of the matter is he does meet horses who are rated up to 10lb better than him as it stands, and possibly he wants further than 1m1f down the line, but this is a good starting point for him and his recent work has been good.
15:35 - Roly Poly
Aidan has the two highest-rated fillies coming into the Nell Gwyn with Brave Anna and Roly Poly, with the former 1lb the superior, but common sense tells you this race is going to be a lot more difficult to win than that. It looks a very good race to me. You have once-raced winners from the Andre Fabre and John Gosden stables for starters, and Sea Of Grace is a Group 3 winner having his first start for William Haggas. And that is just three of the others.
Brave Anna just got the better of Roly Poly in the Cheveley Park and there is obviously very little between the pair form-wise, but it could be that Roly Poly is better suited to today's trip of 7f. Things didn't work out for her from her outside draw over 1m in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf at Santa Anita, but her earlier efforts in Group company - which, quite honestly, surprised me as she progressed a lot more than I thought she would after her run in the Queen Mary - over here marked her down as a rock-solid and classy juvenile.
But this race could take a fair bit of winning, as I said earlier, and I was also quite impressed by Poet's Vanity when she beat me in the Oh So Sharp Stakes here last October.
16:10 - Highland Mary
I'd be lying if I said that I knew anything about her at this stage, but if my agent has done his job then I am at least on one with a chance in this newcomers' race. She is a Dark Angel half-sister to a juvenile 5f winner, so that gives you hope, as does the fact that the stable have won this three times in recent years, I suppose.
16:45 - Vice Versa
It looks like she really needed the experience in a 7f maiden here at the back-end in October. She clearly didn't show a great deal form-wise but a late run on turf at two can be invaluable for a horse's education. She is an Oasis Dream filly from a top family on the distaff side, so hopefully we will see a much better filly this term and a 1m maiden close to home looks a good starting point for her. Her work at home has been okay.
17:20 - Elucidation
Every year when we preview this race we say what a hot 3yo handicap it invariably is, and I doubt this season's race will be any different with most of the big stables represented. You'll probably need the best part of 10lb in hand to win.
I actually rode the fourth when Elucidation won his Leicester maiden over 7f - and that one won his maiden at Windsor afterwards - and this is the first time I have sat on him on the track. He is related to a couple of fair winners who stayed this trip well, so hopefully the 1m2f won't be an issue, and the boss likes to target this race with a promising 3yo handicapper.
He is ready to start and hopefully this Derby entry can be competitive off a mark of 88, though I think that is probably high enough on what he has achieved on the track so far. This race is all about potential, though.