Ryan Moore: The views on my five rides at Newmarket on 2000 Guineas day

Ryan Moore has five booked rides at Newmarket on 2,000 Guineas day
Ryan Moore has five booked rides at Newmarket on 2,000 Guineas day

It's the first Classic of the season at Newmarket on Saturday as the 2,000 Guineas takes centre stage, and here Betfair Ambassador Ryan Moore discusses in detail the big race, what he expects from Air Force Blue, and his chances of riding a winner in the supporting races...


15:45 Newmarket - Air Force Blue

"But the more I look at this race, the more it revolves around my colt. If he stays, and handles any ease in the ground, then he is clearly the most likely winner."

14:30 Newmarket - Sole Power

The obvious thing to say about this race is that it looks a very competitive renewal, albeit one that lacks a stand-out candidate, and with 22-runners luck in running will play a big part.

I also imagine that, as a proven Group 1 sprinter, Sole Power will be among the favourites, but he is getting on a bit and does carry a 6lb penalty for his Group 2 win at The Curragh in September and that will not make things easy. However, there aren't a great deal of progressive up-and-comers in here and I suppose that my horse has a fair chance of following up his victories in this race two years ago, when I rode him, and 2013.

He can be a bit in-and-out when he runs in Dubai but there was certainly nothing wrong with his close third there for me - I said in my Dubai World Cup column that the grass was just a touch too long for him that night and deadened his kick - and the Al Quoz on his next start was a muddling race, as everything shifted right and it rode a little messy.

But it was obviously a very strong Group 1 and he was beaten under 4 lengths into 10th, and this contest doesn't boast the quality of a Buffering or a Peniaphobia.

You obviously have to respect Jungle Cat, who finished fourth in that race, and the likes of Goken - and the 4yos Profitable and Waady - but in all honesty you can make a case for a lot of these at their best, including mine.


15:05 Newmarket - Exosphere

I won a Lingfield maiden on him at the start of last season and he progressed really well, winning a good Sandown handicap convincingly off a mark of 89 and rounding off his campaign with a fair third in a listed race at Ayr. He is a good prospect for the season but he is up considerably in grade here and whether he will be up to winning this you'd have to doubt, especially as it seems a very strong Jockey Club.

But it is a good starting point for him and this will tell us a lot more about where he will go this season.

Jack Hobbs is the obvious one to beat and he doesn't carry a penalty here for his Irish Derby win, whereas Oaks winner Simple Verse does. Big Orange ran a great race over 2m in Dubai and is race-fit, but you would have to think that Jack Hobbs is very much the horse to beat in here if he is straight enough to do himself justice.


15:45 Newmarket - Air Force Blue

He is odds-on for a reason, and that is because he comes into the race with the best form. These are the races that you want to be riding good horses in, and he certainly fits the bill on that score, so obviously I'll be disappointed if he is beaten.

He was meeting a far more experienced colt when he was beaten 2 lengths by Buratino in the Coventry - that was the winner's sixth start and we went to Ascot on the back of a narrow maiden win - and he got better with every start thereafter, winning three Group 1s in convincing fashion, getting more professional all the while.

The updates on him have continued to be very positive over the winter, as regards his well-being and his condition. The way he travels and quickens up on demand is the hallmark of a high-class colt, and he proved himself here in the Dewhurst too, and if we get decent ground on Saturday afternoon then he is clearly the one to beat.

You have to respect the colt that beat him at Royal Ascot, for all that he hasn't raced beyond 6f yet, and the Dewhurst runner-up Massaat also has to be considered as he went into that Group 1 on the back of just a Leicester maiden win. And he is a big, scopey, sort, too. But I'd be disappointed if I wasn't able to confirm the form with him.

I can see Lagardere third Galileo Gold running respectably, for all that the French race was messy, but perhaps my main rival on form is Marcel. The merit of his Racing Post Trophy defeat of Johannes Vermeer was obviously franked when I won the Group 1 at Saint-Cloud on the runner-up next time out, and we know trip and ground won't be a problem for him. He looks solid if he turns up in A1 shape here.

I can absolutely see the case for Stormy Antarctic after his impressive Craven win, but I'm not entirely sure how that form stacks up in Classic terms, and quite clearly his juvenile form leaves him with a little to find with Marcel, let alone Air Force Blue. But, of course, he could have come forward a lot over the winter, and he certainly couldn't have done it any better in the Craven.

Herald The Dawn was far too keen when disappointing in the Lagardere but he has an outside place chance on his earlier form, which included a second to my colt in the National Stakes, while Ribchester was a classy 2yo if a little disappointing in the Djebel on his return.

But the more I look at this race, the more it revolves around my colt. If he stays, and handles any ease in the ground, then he is clearly the most likely winner. But the form book tells you that.

The first-time tongue tie is a tactic Aidan uses occasionally, such as with his Queen's Vase winner Aloft last season and he also re-applied it to Britannia winner War Envoy at Royal Ascot as well, I think.


16:55 Newmarket - Speed Company

He wouldn't be the biggest but I was pretty taken by the way in which he quickened up for me to win a handicap off 89 here last month, winning pretty snugly after looking an unlikely winner for much of the race. This step up in class looks more than justified but he clearly needs to improve again to be beating the likes of Cymric, whose Lagardere second marks him out as the clear form choice and the one to beat, and the extra 2f shouldn't be a problem for him.

But this field is full of unexposed 3yos. The boss's Newbury winner Abdon is a nice colt, Sky Kingdom was impressive when winning the Wood Ditton and Tathqeef's third in the Fielden was not without promise. In summary, we all have Cymric to beat, but plenty in here have the potential to give him a race, and I hope that I am one of them.


17:30 Newmarket - Bahaarah

These 3yo handicaps are very difficult to gauge but hopefully my mount has a chance. She looks to have found the step down in trip or the soft ground, or maybe both, when disappointing on her final start at Salisbury but her earlier nursery win over 7f on the July course would give her a chance off 93, even if the 11lb rise for that victory was pretty steep.

You can obviously give all the others a shout as well but Goodwood winner Folkswood could be fairly treated off 89.


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