It's a busy day at the July Festival for Ryan Moore with six booked rides. The Betfair Ambassador talks through his chances at Newmarket on Friday...
"He came from well off the pace to finish third in the Hampton Court at Ascot last time - that confirmed him as a progressive colt - and a mark of 104 could still underplay his talent."
A decent chance of Glory in the opener
He ran well when fifth in this last year off a slightly higher mark, and comes into this race in fair form. He finished second over a mile at Windsor last time, and the step back to 7f is a plus. He should run his race, and it is just a matter of whether he is on a mark which he can win off, with conditions in his favour. He just may be, with the race cutting up to just seven runners.
Hot race will take a fair bit of winning
This looks a pretty hot race with four of the first five home in the Albany re-opposing - it would have been the whole lot had the third, Fairyland, stood her ground - so it will obviously take a fair bit of winning. Aidan had five in the race but he relies on Gossamer Wings, and I think she can give the Albany runners something to think about.
Donnacha has ridden her in all her starts to date, so I can't really add anything that you can't see for yourself, but I think it was a decent Queen Mary that she was just touched off in - I rode the fourth, So Perfect, who has come out and won a Group 3 at the Curragh - and the step back up to 6f on quick ground should be absolutely fine. It's all about who makes the most progress from Ascot.
Zaaki may be underrated here
This looks a pretty warm handicap but Zaaki has to be given a fair bit of respect, I would have thought. He came from well off the pace to finish third in the Hampton Court at Ascot last time - that confirmed him as a progressive colt - and a mark of 104 could still underplay his talent. If they do get any rain here in the next 24 hours or so, he has form with ease in the ground.
Clemmie can take advantage of any slips by Alpha
Everyone is aware that if Alpha Centauri turns up in anything like the form that saw her win the Coronation Stakes by six lengths, then she will win here. But nothing in racing is a given, and hopefully Clemmie will be the one to benefit if she does run well below-par for some reason.
That may seem a bit of a stretch, as she has been well beaten in both her starts this season, and she was eight lengths behind the favourite in the Irish 1,000 Guineas and 12 lengths adrift at Ascot. But Aidan made no secret of the fact that she still needed the run at Ascot after a setback earlier in the season, and we know she is a Group 1 filly from her juvenile efforts. I was actually happy enough with her at Ascot, and I expect a better showing here.
Distance should suit Mount Tabora
Aidan had five in this maiden and he relies on Mount Tabora. He is a half-brother to some smart winners, a Group 1 winner among them, and I was very happy with him when he finished fifth on his debut at the Curragh recently. That should have taught him a fair bit, and the extra furlong here will suit.
Ripp Orf can bounce back from Epsom effort
I think you can ignore his run at Epsom last time because he got badly hampered coming round the bend, and that was his race over. He actually did well to finish as close as he did in the end. He had earlier been in good form, with two seconds and a win in the Victoria Cup over 7f, and the handicapper didn't hammer him in only raising him 7lb for those efforts. He finished second at Kempton on his only start over a mile to date, so hopefully he should be as effective over this trip, and I think he is probably still on a fair enough mark.
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