We're off to Newmarket for three days of top class racing as the July Festival takes centre stage, and here with his exclusive views on his six Thursday rides is Betfair Ambassador Ryan Moore...
"We lost Dee Ex Bee at the overnight stage, but there are still some very smart horses in opposition here, but my colt has more improvement in him and he could well progress past higher-rated opposition. I think he will go well."
- Ryan Moore on Mirage Dancer
Solid chance of getting meeting off to a flyer
There are some good horses in here, ranging from unexposed types such as Loxley to those with more experience like unlucky King George V third First Eleven - as well as those stepping down in class like Wells Farrh Go - but Giuseppe Garibaldi has a fair bit to recommend him. In fact, he is the highest-rated in the race.
He is improving steadily, following up his Ascot third with a good second at the Curragh Cup last time, and we know the trip and ground pose no problems. He simply looks to hold solid claims in a race where you can fancy a few, though I do rate First Eleven.
Typical O'Brien improver has Advertise to beat
It is always hard to carry a penalty in races like this, however small, and especially when you are up against horses like Advertise. But you can also argue that he has deserved it after winning the Railway Stakes at the Curragh last time. He looks to be a typical Aidan improver - he found it happening a bit too quick for him over 5f in the Windsor Castle and 6f suited him a lot better last time - and his experience will stand him in good stead.
We have to give Advertise 3lb though and it would have been hard to see off the Coventry runner-up off levels, so our task is there for all to see on that front, and Legends of War did look very good at Yarmouth, for all the form of the race hasn't really worked out. These 2yo races are always hard to call but I just hope my colt continues to progress; if he does, he is in there with every chance with conditions to suit.
Lightly-raced gelding still improving
He looks to have run two good races since being gelded, following up his reappearance run with a win in a big-field 6f handicap on fast ground at York last time. He has gone up 6lb for that narrow defeat of Savalas, who re-opposes here, but the runner-up was progressive going into the race and the third won next time, so it looks like it was a decent enough race. He doesn't have many miles on the clock, so hopefully he will continue to improve and a low draw in two doesn't prove to be a negative.
Distance suits and I think we will go very well
I think it is pretty clear that we didn't see the best of him in the Wolferton last time, as he didn't get the gaps and breaks when he needed them. It happens. He would probably have gone close there with luck in running, so he has the pace for 1m2f, but he showed 1m4f suited him very well when earlier winning impressively at Goodwood.
We lost Dee Ex Bee at the overnight stage, but there are still some very smart horses in opposition here, but my colt has more improvement in him and he could well progress past higher-rated opposition. I think he will go well.
Well-bred filly sure to benefit from debut run
I rode the distant fourth in the race in which she finished second on her debut at Pontefract last month, and it was clear for all to see what a promising race she ran there. I am not sure how strong the form is, but she was only just touched off by a horse with experience and it was 9 lengths back to the third, so it looks decent enough. She is by Kingman out of the very smart mare Swiss Diva, who I rode to win a valuable sprint handicap at York one year, so she is certainly bred for the job.
Need to step up in a strong race
This looks a pretty tough task for him, but at least he appears to be steadily improving with his racing. He ran well when fourth in the Heron Stakes and he probably ran to a similar level of form in a Group 3 in France last time. He will need to step up a fair amount here if the form horses like Emaraaty and Gabr return to their best, though I do expect the quicker ground to suit him. That could be very much in his favour. It's a very deep race for Listed-level.