Ryan Moore has a full book of eight rides at Newbury on Saturday afternoon and here the Betfair Ambassador talks exclusively about their chances...
"He is Group 1-placed, won here impressively earlier in the season, and has as good a chance as any."
- Ryan Moore on The Irish Rover
Perfect trip to introduce well-bred colt
He's a lovely colt and a beautifully-bred one, too, being by Australia out of a Grade 1 winner. Our 2yos are beginning to get going now, too, though we never give them a tough time on debut. I like 7f as a starting point for him.
Recent rain in our favour
Adamant unfortunately misses the race, so I now ride Master The World. He didn't run up to his best in heavy ground at Haydock last time but he is a very smart horse on his day, winning the Betfred Mile for me at Goodwood last season and landing a Group 3 on the all-weather earlier this year. He meets some less exposed horses here but he is fairly weighted on his best form and the recent rain won't have been a problem for him.
Progressive Dancer a worthy favourite
I am always wary of carrying penalties in races like these, even if it just 3lb. That is what Mirage Dancer is burdened with for his Goodwood win last time, but he was good there, and his earlier second at Newmarket has worked out very well. He has to give weight to some good horses, like last year's winner Desert Encounter and Young Rascal, but he is progressing now and I think he has a genuine favourite's chance.
Rover has as good a chance as any
This looks a very difficult race to call and you can't rule any of them out, bar maybe one or two, I guess. Shine So Bright could be the one to beat . The Irish Rover came to win his race at Doncaster last week, only for his run to flatten out close home. He travelled well throughout the race and simply got there too soon, especially into the headwind. He is Group 1-placed, won here impressively earlier in the season, and has as good a chance as any.
Penalty and rain not ideal for Nation
The less rain from now on, the better for him. I was delighted with him when he was a close third in the Flying Five at the Curragh last weekend, and hopefully he will get his preferred quicker surface here, though Thursday night's rain was not ideal. He carries a 3lb penalty for his Naas win earlier in the season, which is not ideal, but he certainly has the class to be winning this at his best.
Another well-related colt to make his debut
He is another well-related colt of ours, a grand sort, and fetched a fair few quid at the sales last year. His pedigree tells you that this trip will be a minimum for him perhaps, though he is a Shamardal and he has shown up nicely at home.
No more rain needed for in-form stable
I have always had a lot of time for this horse since finishing behind him at Goodwood a couple of years ago. I won on him at Yarmouth later that year and was on board for the first time since when just touched off at Ascot last time. If there is no more significant rain, then that will probably suit, and he remains fairly handicapped. The stable have had a good couple of months, too.
Last time out effort needs to be ignored
He doesn't look to have run any kind of race last time. If you ignore that and focus on his earlier efforts - and his Salisbury second to Nicklaus got a boost earlier this week - then you can give him a fair chance. The quicker the better for him.