The flat season is getting into its stride now and that means a busy Saturday for Ryan Moore, with seven rides booked in at Newbury. Here is his exclusive verdict on each...
"Australia will take some shifting from the top of the Guineas market but if something wins this well they will pushing him for favouritism, and Night Of Thunder could have a better chance than most of being that horse."
13:20 Newbury - Dursey Sound
Clearly, there are a lot of unknowns in here, but two of three have shown a fair level of form, including my mount Dursey Sound. In fact, I just edged him out in a 1m maiden on the all-weather at Lingfield last year, and the form has worked out OK. It's just about how much if he has improved - and the others obviously - from two to three.
13:50 Newbury - Astonishing
We always thought a fair bit of her last season but she often ran a bit too free for her own good. But she was something of a revelation on her final start at Newmarket, where she spread-eagled a fair field in a listed race at Newmarket over this trip, winning very easily. Whether or not she was flattered there I don't know - and she may have improved for the boss putting a ring bit on her that day - but we may find out today, as she steps up in class against the colts, solid Group 3 sorts and some promising ones too, like Mutashaded. She has never been a flashy homeworker, but seems in good form coming into this, but I don't think my draw in nine is ideal.
14:20 Newbury - Dutch Courage
This looks a very tough race to call but if Al Thakira comes back to the form of her Rockfel win, then she could be the one to beat. She clearly didn't give her true running when I rode her in the Breeders Cup Juveniles Fillies; she was travelling well but didn't find anything when I let her down on the fast ground, which she didn't appreciate. She is a lot better than that. Dutch Courage looked progressive last season though, and I rode her when she won a nursery off 87 at Newmarket on her final start. She would need to improve to win this, but that is obviously a possibility in a wide-open contest, and I did like her when I rode her. In fact, I give her a decent chance.
14:55 Newbury - Night Of Thunder
Obviously took a while to get the hang of things at two, as he didn't make his debut until October. But he won a couple of races in impressive style, winning a fair maiden at Goodwood by six lengths, where I rode a fair sort in third, and following up in a listed race at Doncaster a fortnight later, in which I finished fourth on Rufford. Both of those wins came on soft ground but hopefully better ground here won't be a problem, and I know Hughesie has always thought a fair bit of him. He will need to be good though, as this is one of the better Greenhams in recent seasons, with the exception of Frankel's.
I suppose it will all come down to whoever is sharpest on the day but you have Group 1 and 2 winners in here, without penalties, and six or seven are in with a chance. Astaire is the only Group 1 winner in the line-up; there is more to come from Berkshire but maybe over further than this; Kingman was obviously very impressive on his debut when I rode him; Lat Hawill won as he liked at Newcastle and is said to have been working very well; and Golden Town and Windfast are good maiden winners. Australia will take some shifting from the top of the Guineas market but if something wins this well they will pushing him for favouritism, and Night Of Thunder could have a better chance than most of being that horse.
15:30 Newbury - Brownsea Brink
Won three 1m handicaps on the spin on good ground last summer, and I rode him when he was fifth at Ascot in soft ground in October. He came back to form when just touched off by Purcell last month, and that horse followed up in impressive style at Lingfield last Saturday, so he could be well treated off just a 2lb higher mark back on turf today. The step back up 1m clearly isn't a problem, either, but the draw in three could be. Personally, I don't like being drawn low at Newbury in these races.
16:05 Newbury - Sayed Youmzain
As it stands, I don't know a lot about him to be honest - and you will find me saying that about a lot of maidens at the start of season. But he is one of a number in here to have shown a level of ability in one run last season, when fourth over 1m in an admittedly weakish race at Nottingham, and being by Dalakhani you would have to think that 1m3f would suit him. And I've just noticed that I rode the dam to win a listed race at York a few years back.
16:40 Newbury - Top Diktat
Looked to have recaptured something close to his best with wins at Kempton in January and February, but he is now rated 4lb higher on turf for the latest of those victories, which was only a head. Is a course winner for me, albeit three years ago, the trip is fine and he is versatile as regards ground. But this is a stronger race than the all-weather contests he won a couple of months ago, and I think he could struggle, but we will see.