He won his maiden with some cut in the ground and has run two fair races this season. In fact, he has been dropped 1lb after his fourth at Chelmsford last time and that could have been a fair handicap. He has each-way claims in a race that has cut up a fair bit.
He appears to have put up a much-improved performance on his handicap debut at Nottingham last time, and it was plenty soft enough there, too. I think a 6lb rise for what was a convincing victory is pretty fair and he looks to hold strong claims.
He has done all his winning on the all-weather, and is 3lb higher in that sphere, but he has been in good form on turf recently. He makes a quick reappearance after finishing a fair sixth over 6f at Epsom last week and, although he arguably is more at home over 7f and on better ground, I think he is fairly weighted in an open race.
She was disappointing on her return at Goodwood and has a lot to find on ratings with a few of these. But we know she is a lot better than she showed last time and she handled soft ground well when winning at Doncaster for me last season. She has to improve to get into the shake-up here but hopefully there is more to come from her.
This looks a competitive Group 3 in which you can fancy a few but Mitchum Swagger has plenty going for him. He has a bit to find with a few of these but he has his conditions - he is best in the soft - and he has an excellent record at this track, with a win and two narrow defeats in just three starts here. And this is obviously a big step down in class for him after running in the Lockinge last time.
He beat Crystal Ocean at Newbury last season, which makes him look fairly handicapped off 80, but he was a bit disappointing over 1m at Newmarket last time. His earlier seventh at Newbury came in a race that worked out well, and he would have a decent chance if coming back to that form. Maybe the step down to 7f will suit him.
He showed a really good attitude once again when winning at Kempton last time, and I'd like to think he can be competitive here from a 5lb higher mark. The soft ground is a bit of an unknown, though.