Ryan Moore at the Breeders' Cup: The views on my Saturday rides at Churchill Downs
The second and final day of the 2018 Breeders' Cup sees Ryan Moore take five rides for Aidan O'Brien at Churchill Downs, and here he gives the lowdown on the chances of each...
"The key to this filly is soft ground, so the rain this week is a big plus; the ground makes a massive difference to her. She is a different filly on it, and it brings her up to another level."
- Ryan Moore on Magical
Luck needed as well as having a bit to find
16:38 - Lost Treasure
I don't think it is too controversial to say he isn't the most straightforward, but we know he is talented, as his close fifth in the Abbaye underlines. And he has posted fair performances since, including when tried in blinkers at Dundalk last time. We leave the headgear off here and I can see him being placed if things go his way, though he will need plenty of luck from his midfield draw given his run-style. He does have a bit to find though, and a US sprint could be a bit of a shock to his system.
Top class on her day but ground and draw a concern
18:04 - Magic Wand
She is a proper Group 1 filly on her day, as we saw when she beat Wild Illusion by 4 lengths in the Ribblesdale on fast ground, and she comes here after a length second to that filly in the Prix de l'Opera last time. She may have something to find with the Godolphin filly now, and the likes of Sistercharlie, but she has obvious place claims, though two negatives are the rain and her draw in 10. If the ground rides too testing on Saturday, then that would be a big drawback.
Aidan's three have chances in an open race
19:36 - Gustav Klimt
This race has been earmarked for him for a while, so it was disappointing to see him drawn 13. But if he gets the breaks, then I don't expect him to be far away, We know he handles any ground from his Haydock Sprint Cup third on heavy, and quicker ground is just as fine. He would have gone close to winning the Foret with luck in running last time but, then again, you can probably say that about Polydream in behind, and then some.
Aidan has a strong hand in here with Happily and QE II runner-up I Can Fly, and I wouldn't be surprised if either beat my colt home, to be honest. There isn't a great deal between them but I just favour my colt, as it stands, and I can see the mile around here suiting him if we get the luck. It's a very even field though, and you can make a case for a fair few.
Rain-softened ground a big plus as we try to beat Enable
20:56 - Magical
You have to say that a peak-form Enable will be hard to beat here, but she had a tough race in the Arc and I do fancy Magical will give her something to think about. The key to this filly is soft ground, so the rain this week is a big plus; the ground makes a massive difference to her. She is a different filly on it, and it brings her up to another level.
She travelled well and won a strong race comfortably at Ascot last time, and comes here in peak form. She has a very similar profile to Found, who beat Golden Horn in this race in 2015, and I like her chances.
Home team hard to beat but we have a chance
21:44 - Mendelssohn
You don't need me to tell you that the home team tend to dominate this race, and in Catholic Boy, Accelerate, Mckinzie and West Coast they present a formidable challenge once again. But my colt has been targeted at this race all season and I expect him to run his best race of the campaign, and that includes his Dubai win.
I was very happy with his third at Belmont last time, when we went flat out, and I can see him hitting the board.
Roaring Lion will be some horse to win this after the tough campaign he has had, but the ability and attitude is there if he can handle the surface and all that goes with it.