Ahead of next weeks 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket, Betfair Ambassador Ryan Moore casts his eye over the likely contenders from the Ante Post market.
"Maureen won very well at Newbury last weekend but I think that she beat a lot of sprinters there, and stamina has to be a concern for her. She is another traveller who would be a big threat if she is able to stay this extra furlong effectively"
This looks to be a very open and winnable 1,000 Guineas but I am pretty sure that Hot Snap will prove to be the best horse in the race by the end of the season. However, I am just concerned that the Classic could come a few weeks too soon for her in terms of experience and race know-how.
She was very green and did not travel well in the early stages of the Nell Gwyn, and took time to get into top gear. If she does that in the Guineas next weekend, then she could give herself a mountain to climb. If you were looking for another negative in her Newmarket win, then I suppose you could argue that she raced on the best part of the track. But that is probably just me being too downbeat on her chances, and the fact is that once Tom got her into full stride, she really responded, beating Sky Lantern pretty easily, and she clearly rates as the horse to beat on that bare form. There is probably loads more to come from her, especially over this extra furlong.
However, I repeat, if she doesn't jump and travel from the start next Sunday, then she could make problems for herself and Tom. For that reason, I wouldn't totally rule out Sky Lantern reversing the form. One thing that you can be sure of with this one is that she will travel through the race, giving Hughesie options that Tom may not have, and it wouldn't surprise me if more aggressive tactics were to be adopted by the Hannon camp this time. She won the Moyglare by taking command before the furlong marker and it is not as if she has too much to find anyway, as she was giving the winner 3lb last time, remember. And from what I saw of her in the paddock I think she will come on for the race, too.
What A Name is similar in that she travels and quickens, and she won a typical slowly-run French race last time. That told us little other than the fact that she has wintered well, but what her second to Olympic Glory in the Lagardere told me is that she is a big player on form. I respect the French when they come over for the 1,000 and 2,000.
Maureen won very well at Newbury last weekend but I think that she beat a lot of sprinters there, and stamina has to be a concern for her. She is another traveller who would be a big threat if she is able to stay this extra furlong effectively.
Big Break is interesting but I just wonder whether she will inconvenienced if it does turn out to be fast ground, and Just The Judge rates as a more likely winner to me. She is tough, and I saw her do a nice piece of work on TV recently. It was nothing too searching, but the way she did it impressed me, as she did when winning the Rockfel. But I think Aidan has two decent outside chances at this race again.
Now, Moth is a similar to horse to Mars in the 2,000 Guineas in that she comes here after a win in pretty ordinary company. But when I watched that victory I was very very impressed; not many horses finish of their races at the Curragh as powerfully as she did there, really going through the line with some purpose.
I think they knew they had a horse of some potential going into the race, who had improved from two to three, as Joseph rode her with a lot of confidence, and if she gets supplemented, then that tells you all you need to know. I can her see her running a very big race, but I think Aidan's Snow Queen can also be given a sporting chance of a place.
In many respects, she is similar to Homecoming Queen, who I rode to win this race last year, in that she comes here with plenty of mileage on the clock and apparently without the form - she only beat one home in the Moyglare - that would appear to give her a serious chance. But, having watched the race a couple of times, I think there was some promise in her comeback third over 7f at Leopardstown. She is unproven on fast ground and has loads to find on the figures, but I think the step up in trip will suit and I would give her an outside each way chance maybe. She may not be straightforward but I think there could be more to come from her.