Royal Ascot Bets of the Day: Eye-up an Expert bet using Each-Way Edge
It's day two of the finest five days in Flat racing and the Bets of the Day team are eager to kick on with some winners. Read what Alan Dudman, Nick Shiambouros and Alan Thompson have to say about today's races...
"This First Samurai filly was one of the most impressive winners of the meeting. She made all the running, and simply destroyed the opposition. Her rider had the luxury of gearing her down in the closing stages. I think she is open to significant improvement and is fairly priced at [3.85] on the exchange."
Alan Dudman - Take a chance on Gosden outsider
15:05 Queen's Vase - Back Almoghared @ [18.0]
I had a little tickle on Dee Ex Bee ante-post for this - with the logic being he wasn't up to Derby standard but very much a stayer for the future. Unfortunately for me; his second at Epsom somewhat ruined that plan!
However, Almoghared is a bit of a flyer for John Gosden at around [18.0]. You can also take advantage of The Edge on the Sportsbook by pushing out 4 places or 5 places at 1/5 of the odds and he is certainly an each-way price.
He clearly has to improve massively on a Chepstow victory - but he has a few things in his favour. Namely he wants quick ground, is a half-brother to the brilliant Taghrooda and is bred to stay very well.
The trip might have been reduced these days for the Queen's Vase, but the race is designed for a young stayer to test the stamina - and on the evidence of Almoghared's Chepstow win, this horse has got plenty of stamina.
I like Gosden's other horse in the field (Stream Of Stars), but he's been well found in the market.
Halford and Buick can land the spoils
I'm a big fan of Saltonstall, and this is one of my favourite handicaps of the year. He is the bet at 10/1 on the Sportsbook.
His trainer Michael Halford won this race in 2016 with Portage, and Saltonstall has a similar sort of profile.
Today's selection has decent handicap form this season in Ireland. He finished second in the Irish Lincolnshire from 95 in a fine return to the track after an absence, but he made no mistake on quick ground when last seen when scoring in a Premier Handicap at the Curragh. He won with a bit in hand in my opinion and loved the fast ground.
He's a gorgeous-looker who is now making up for lost time. Last year he was seen in the Group 3 Ballysax and ran no sort of race and missed the whole season after that - and he was a well-touted juvenile.
Alan Thompson - Aljazzi can go one place better this year
Marco Botti's charge Aljazzi was second in this race 12 months ago but has subsequently won a Group 3 at Sandown and made an eye catching return when third to Addeybb, again at Sandown, in April. Back at Ascot with conditions perfect for her, she can make amends for last year's defeat. She is a filly that always goes well fresh so I have no worries at all about the 54 day break, all her previous wins have come after at least a couple of months away from the course.
The contest looks like a straight match between her and the Aiden O'Brien Group 1 winner Hydrangea, who certainly sets the standard. She has proved she has the class, but her best form has come over further and at the prices I would rather give Aljazzi a chance of beating her.
Top weight may not be enough to stop James Garfield
The Sportsbook Each Way edge worked well for me yesterday so I will have another go today with the always competitive Jersey Stakes. Traditionally this is normally the first race of day two at the meeting but it has been moved to the end of the card this time around. Hopefully, I can finish the day in style as the one I think could run a big race is the top weighted James Garfield from the George Scott yard.
The colt won the Mill Reef as a juvenile and then picked up the Greenham over this trip on his 2018 debut, he then ran over a mile in the Guineas and then back to six furlongs last time, which didn't seem to suit him. I think going back over seven today is perfect for him and the quick ground will be of no concern at all. Obviously, he does have that 5lb penalty to overcome but with six places available and the fact that he is already proven, I think at worst he can hang onto a place and produce a profitable return.
Nick Shiambouros - Chelsea to deliver
14:30 Queen Mary - Back Chelsea Cloisters at [3.85]
Chelsea Cloisters should go very close in this intriguing contest.
Trainer Wesley Ward dominated the Keenland spring meeting sending out an incredible 10 consecutive juvenile winners. This First Samurai filly was one of the most impressive winners of the meeting. She made all the running, and simply destroyed the opposition. Her rider had the luxury of gearing her down in the closing stages. I think she is open to significant improvement and is fairly priced at [3.85] on the exchange.
Shades Of Blue looks the pick of the home team. She won a maiden over this course in great style last month, and has every right to move forward. She is a solid second choice in the market at [5.7] on the exchange.
Take the Expert advice
I am going to take a chance with Expert Eye in this wide open event.
This talented colt has yet to find his form this season. He finished down the field in the Guineas and was beaten in the Greenham. On both occasions he refused to settle, and ultimately paid the price. His best effort to date was when he won the Vintage in great style as a two-year-old. I think the return to seven furlongs will suit him, and hopefully he will settle better in this large field. Each-Way Edge (5places) looks great value at 9/1.
Could It Be Love could be the danger. She attempted to make all in the Irish 1,000GNS, but was caught close home by Alpha Centauri. I thought that was a super effort, and will also benefit from the shorter trip. At present she is trading at 4/1 on the Sportsbook.
Alan Dudman says: Back Almoghared @ [18.0] in the 15:05
Alan Dudman says: Back Saltonstall @ 12/1 Sportsbook price in the 17:00
Alan Thompson says: Back Aljazzi @ 9/2 in the 15:40
Alan Thompson says: Back James Garfield Each Way @ 8/1 (Using EW Edge to 6 Places) in the 17:30
Nick Shiambouros says: Back Chelsea Cloisters at [3.85] in the 14:30
Nick Shiambouros says: Back Expert Eye Each-way Edge (5 places) at 9/1 in the 17:30