Royal Ascot Bets of the Day: Final day selections from our in-form tipsters
It's the final afternoon of the finest five days in Flat racing and the Bets of the Day team are eager to end their week on a high. Read what Alan Dudman, Nick Shiambouros and Alan Thompson have to say about today's races...
Alan Dudman - Lupton can be a force on final day
17:00 Wokingham Stakes - Back Mr Lupton @ [17.50]
Mr Lupton is a bit of a favourite of mine, but this isn't a sentimental bet by any means because this sort of race provides the ideal set-up for the horse.
Quick ground and a fast pace play to his strengths - and he'll get exactly those for the Wokingham.
He's been in pretty good nick this season as he was unlucky coming from too far back at Newmarket, but he made no mistake last time when scoring at York over 5f to nail the rapid El Astronaute in the closing stages. That trip would have been shorter than ideal.
He's up 3lb to 106, but he's still well treated from a peak of last term's 113. After all, he was mixing it in Group and Listed company 12 months ago - and he's just a little short of that level.
I don't mind his draw in 22 nearest to the stands' side, and hopefully he can pick his way through late on.
Using Sportsbook's The Edge for an each-way bet, 6 and 7 places are available.
See the light by backing Pillar
It's a bit of a wacky race over near-enough 2m6f, but last year's runner-up Thomas Hobson is a classy performer. He was last seen in the Melbourne Cup and clearly sets a decent standard, but I am not interested in backing him at 11/8.
He also hacked up in last term's Ascot Stakes. He's tough too.
I am happy to reduce the Each-Way Edge to 3 Places here to boost Light Pillar's price out to 20/1 as there are a few in this race who simply have no chance.
Light Pillar has had a light campaign so far so maybe this has been the top plan for excellent rookie trainer Joseph O'Brien?
He raced previously for Andre Fabre and competed at Group 3 and Listed level, so there could be a bit of class there. I am happy to find out at such a big price.
The 4yo has to step up in terms of form for the longer trip, but he's a lively outsider.
Nick Shiambouros - Moonlight to shine
15:40 Windsor Castle- Back Moonlight Romance at [6.4]
Moonlight Romance can give trainer Wesley Ward another winner in this Listed contest.
This filly put in a much improved effort when beating Andrea's Pride in a maiden on the turf at Belmont last month. She broke alertly, and pulled well clear over a furlong from home to score easily. She had previously finished second to Norfolk winner Shang Shang Shang. Sprinting on the turf is her game , and further improvement is likely. Jockey Joel Rosario retains the ride and knows her well. I think she will take plenty of catching, and is attractively priced at [6.4] on the exchange.
Time to pop the latch
I think Spring Loaded could run well at a big price in this historic handicap.
This gelding finished sixth to Gifted Master in a Listed race at Lingfield last November. He ran on well in the closing stages, but could not get to grips with the game winner. He has some decent form in the book, and won a competitive handicap by a wide margin at Doncaster last September. Trainer Paul D'Arcy knows how to prepare a horse for a big race, and I am hopeful for a big showing.
The Each-Way Edge feature did me a big favour yesterday when Top Tug snatched fifth place. I am using the same bet today using six places at 15/1.
Dreamfield heads the market at 100/30. This colt overcame a long absence to maintain his unbeaten record when scoring at Ascot last month. Trainer John Gosden is on fire at present ,and this likeable individual could be anything.
Alan Thompson - Another winner for Frankie in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes
Redkirk Warrior actually won twice over one mile two furlongs as a three-year-old for Willie Haggis including winning here back in July 2014. Since then he has been transformed into a Group 1 winning sprinter by connections, with success over five and six furlongs at that level this year.
The now Australian challenger has been highly progressive in recent starts, and in is Group 1 Handicap at Flemington he got the better of Merchant Navy, who he was giving plenty of weight to. No doubt since Merchant Navy has moved to the Aidan O'Brien operation he will have improved and he certainly looked in good order when winning at the Curragh just last month.
But he still has work to do to turn around that form with the selection who will relish the ground and has Frankie Dettori on board, who has had another superb Royal meeting.
Beyond Reason can take away Natalie's Joy
I have no doubt that the one to beat in the Chesham is Natalies Joy and a repeat of what she showed at Goodwood on debut, winning by eight lengths, she is going to be hard to beat but at 11/8 she is plenty short enough for me on just her second start. She is stepping up to seven furlongs today and while the nature of her debut win suggests that's not going to be a problem she will still have to handle it. No doubt she will go on to bigger and better things but this will still all be new to her and at the prices I prefer to look elsewhere.
I would rather be on Beyond Reason today and using the Sportsbook EW edge you can still get a decent 4/1 but add an extra place for your each way bet. Normally 4/1 wouldn't be an each way selection, especially at 1/5th for a place, but I am viewing it as an almost free stab at taking on Natalies Joy, while getting 80% of you stake back if she fails to beat the favourite but makes the top four finishers.
The Charlie Appleby trained runner was only beaten two lengths by New Winds at Newmarket on debut and he built on that effort for a relatively easy victory at Kempton next time out. She's a well bred filly and cost 370,000gns for connections who clearly think plenty of her and the step up in trip should help her more than hinder her chances. It was a close call between the selection and Cardini, to take the favourite on with as she was another expensive purchase as a yearling and the Aiden O'Brien team have a great record in this race winning it the last two years. But today I like the chances of the Godolphin runner with the safety of a bit of cash back if she can make the top four.
Alan Dudman says: Back Mr Lupton @ [17.50] in the 17:00
Alan Dudman says: Back Light Pillar each-way (using 3 places in The Edge) @ 20/1 in the 17:35
Nick Shiambouros says: Back Moonlight Romance at [6.4] in the 15:40
Nick Shiambouros says: Back Spring Loaded Each-Way Edge (6 places) at 15/1 in the 17:00
16:20 Diamond Jubilee Stakes - Back Redkirk Warrior @ 4/1
14:30 Chesham Stakes - Back Beyond Reason @ 4/1 (using EW edge to 4 places)