Royal Ascot Day 4 Tips: Celebrate like Kings if Fete wins again for Sir Michael

Sir Michael Stoute could be looking at a winner on day 4 of Royal Ascot
Sir Michael Stoute could be looking at a winner on day 4 of Royal Ascot

We've quickly moved on to day four of the Royal meeting, and here with his views on each race, plus some recommended wagers, is our resident tipster Tony Calvin...

"With that run under his belt, stepped up in trip, and running in Stoute's favourite handicap off a mark of 104 then he could take some stopping."

Back King's Fete at 11.010/1 in the 17:00

Trainers are creatures of habit, and Sir Michael Stoute seemingly likes nothing better than training the winner of the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes, and I think Kings Fete can take this year's renewal for him at odds of 11.010/1 at 17:00.

He has won this race recently with Arab Spring, Opinion and Sugar Ray, with near-misses from runner-ups Blissful Moment and I'm Imposing, and that was from only nine runners in the past 10 years. Very impressive stats.

And Kings Fete could well have been trained with this race in mind, too. He was off the track with a tendon injury after a progressive 3yo season that saw him go off 12-1 in Kingston Hill St Leger, but he made an eye-catching return to action at Goodwood last month.

Ted Durcan was at pains not to give him a hard race there - probably justifiably so, given his injury problems - but the promise of his fifth in that Listed race was present for all to see.

With that run under his belt, stepped up in trip, and running in Stoute's favourite handicap off a mark of 104 then he could take some stopping. And a double-figure draw is not the negative that some would believe over the 1m4f trip here, so his stall in 15 should be fine, if not ideal.

Grace can answer our prayers in Albany

My first instinct, as regular readers will know, is to always look to oppose the favourite in any race. Sometimes you can explore all the avenues you like, though, and consistently come to a dead end and that is the case - or so I thought, so read on - with the Albany Stakes at 14:30 in which Cuff looks a very worthy favourite at 3.55/2.

Obviously the profile of most of the 16-runner field would give their connections some cause for optimism - with the exception of two fillies, they are all lightly-raced winners - but they will all have to go some to beat Cuff.

Simply put, the form of her three-length win in a Naas listed race gives her a lot in hand of this field and she looks to be progressing at a rate of knots, too. She will take a lot of beating, and odds of around 5-2 are fair enough if playing at those odds are your bag.

However, I wasn't expecting Oh Grace to be on offer at 26.025/1, and I have to back her, and put her up as a bet.

She is the most experienced filly in the race - indeed Jim Bolger was surprised that it took her four runs to win her maiden - but that is no bad thing in this testing ground.

She has actually finished behind Cuff twice this season, beaten 2 ½ and 4 lengths, but it is entirely feasible that she improved for the fitting of cheekpieces when bolting up over 7f on fast ground at Leopardstown last time.

That proven stamina will stand her in good stead as she steps back down to 6f on soft ground - she handled testing ground well in her first two starts - and I will be backing her on the exchange, and getting involved at 20-1 each-way with the Betfair Sportsbook is also recommended.

Bogart could star in King Edward

I can't get overly-excited by anything in the King Edward VII Stakes at 15:05. The reason is simply in that I couldn't put a line through any of the nine runners.

If I had to get involved then I think that the Derby fifth Humphrey Bogart is probably slightly underplayed in the market at around 8-1, but I won't be having a bet in the race, as it stands.

Favourite to take plenty of beating in Commonwealth Cup

Quiet Reflection really is a very solid 3.211/5 favourite in the Commonwealth Cup at 15:40 and I am not going to oppose her. Or, indeed, back her.

Basically, if she is in the same form as when destroying Donjuan Triumphant by 3 ¾ lengths in the Sandy Lane at Haydock last time then I think she will win, and win well. And though that was clearly an improved effort, you can even give her sound enough claims on her earlier victories and she handles deep ground, too.

If you are after one at a price then maybe La Rioja, fifth behind Quiet Reflection at Haydock, could fit the bill back on soft ground but the favourite will take plenty of stopping.

Little Besharah to make big strides

That may also be the case with Jet Setting at a similar price in the Coronation Stakes at 16:20 as the merit of her defeat of Minding in the Irish 1,000 Guineas is there for all to see. But there is a lot more depth to this race than there is in the Commonwealth Cup, and I couldn't be with her at the prices.

Nemoralia would be the selection on better ground, and Alice Springs is over-priced on her Guineas third, but I wasn't expecting Besharah to be on offer at 23.022/1 and she has to get my vote accordingly.

Now, the combination of soft ground on a stiff mile will have most shying away from her. But, while that is an obvious worry - and the reason why we are getting the inflated price - I am a contrary soul.

Most people thought this filly was purely a speedy 2yo, mainly on account of her small physique, and they would have been nodding knowingly when she reappeared to finish only third at Chelmsford first time up.

But she improved massively to finish fourth in the French 1,000 Guineas last time, beaten only 1 ½ lengths, and I have to give her a chance.

Testing ground on this track over a mile is undoubtedly the concern but she proved she stayed the trip well enough at Deauville last time, and she has winning course form on soft ground, too. She could fade away tamely from 2f out, but I'll give it a shot at the odds.

Back rock solid Ormito win and each-way

It's a trappy punting card on Friday to tell you the truth, from my point of view anyway, and the Queen's Vase at 17:35 looked pretty daunting at first glance.

I nearly put up Cole Porter at 16-1+ even though he is the stable second-string here. He has a similar profile to last year's winner Aloft and is obviously lightly-raced and unexposed at this trip.

But it is a total guess-up with him, while Ormito looks incredibly solid at 11-2 each way 1/5 1,2,3,4 with the Betfair Sportsbook and at 7.06/1 on the exchange.

The case for him is very straightforward. He is officially the best horse in the race courtesy of his third to Algometer and Prize Money in the Cocked Hat at Goodwood last time and is bred to be suited by this trip, being by stayer Mamool (who actually won this race) out of a 1m4f winner whose family is laden with stamina.

He is also a full-brother to a 1m7f winner, and he will surely take some kicking out of the frame, at the very least.

Recommended Bets

Back Oh Grace at 26.025/1 in the 14:30, and at 20-1 each-way with the Betfair Sportsbook
Back Besharah at 23.022/1 in the 16:20
Back King's Fete at 11.010/1 in the 17:00
Back Ormito at 11-2 each-way with the Betfair Sportsbook 1/5 1,2,3,4 in 17:35, and/or 7.06/1 on exchange

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