Kevin Blake tipped an 11/1 winner at York on Friday in Nymphadora and he's found some attractive betting opportunities at Newbury on Saturday...
"He moves like one that will be well suited by this softer surface and that could well bring about more improvement in him. He looks the type to keep progressing and he looks to have a very strong chance in this company."
The BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (13:50) has attracted a strong field and I have to say, I thought the initial pricing of the race was all wrong.
The Charlie Appleby-trained Creative Force is a likeable, progressive horse that could well prove to be a Group performer in the near future, but I don't believe his workmanlike victory in a four-runner handicap at Newmarket last time entitles him to be favourite for this contest.
The one that should and, in my opinion, will end up being favourite is the Andrew Balding-trained Tactical. The son of Toronado won the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot last year and continued his progression throughout the season, finishing fourth in a strong renewal of the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket.
He resumed his progression on his seasonal reappearance in the Free Handicap at Newmarket, overcoming serious trouble in running to pull victory from the fire off a mark of 107. It was a very commendable effort in any number of ways and it has been enhanced since by the performance of those he beat. Most notably, the runner-up Naval Crown went on to finish fourth in the 2000 Guineas when pushing the pace for his better-fancied stable mates.
While Tactical's connections must have been tempted to try him at a mile, they have decided to drop back to six furlongs for this contest.
His pace for the shorter trip is not in question and an ease in the ground isn't a worry for him either. While he has to give away at least 3lb to all his rivals, he should be the favourite and is likely to take all the beating.
Tamborrada is value at his price
The BetVictor London Gold Cup (15:00) is a typically tricky three-year-old handicap that is full of unexposed and potentially well-treated contenders.
The one I like is one of the more obvious ones in the shape of the Charlie Appleby-trained Tamborrada, but I still think he represents value at his price.
While many of these arrive to this race off the back of performances in novice contests, Tamborrada has been there and done it in handicap company. He was well backed to make a winning return to action in a mile-and-a-quarter handicap at Doncaster in March and duly got the job done, albeit by just a snug neck from the next-time-out winner Annandale.
Raised 8lb for that, he moves like one that will be well suited by this softer surface and that could well bring about more improvement in him. He looks the type to keep progressing and he looks to have a very strong chance in this company.
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