It's a busy Saturday for Hugo Palmer with seven runners across Newbury, Doncaster and Chelmsford. Here are the Betfair Ambassador's exclusive views on the chances of each...
13:45 Newbury - Colibri
He improved a good deal for the good to soft ground when winning at Brighton last time. It was only a weakish maiden but he won it by 12 lengths, so, now being rated 92, he is ready for the step up in class. In fact, we nearly didn't run him at Brighton because of the ground as, being a son of Redoute's Choice, we thought he needed it fast. That was a case of trainer error, as he loved it.
14:20 Newbury - Twitch
This is the last opportunity for her to win a Group 3, as this beautifully-bred filly is off to the breeding sheds after this run. She had been knocking on the door trying to get a Listed win for a while before pushing it wide open with a win at Bath last time. She has struggled in stakes company against the colts in the past but this is one last hurrah for her, and we go into the race with our eyes wide open.
15:15 Doncaster - To Be Wild
He pulled muscles in behind after winning at Ffos Las in July, and has taken a long time to come right. I don't think a mark of 93 is absurd for him even if the bare form of his maiden win didn't really warrant it - if he hadn't have had a St Leger entry at the time I suspect he would have been rated something like 87 - but his recent work has been really good and I am looking forward to seeing him out again. I actually think he would have run a competitive race in the Leger, the way that panned out in the end.
15:20 Newbury - Castleacre
If I don't want the ground to dry out for Colibri, I do for Castleacre. I imagine it will be dead autumn ground which probably wouldn't be ideal for an Exceed And Excel filly with a beautiful pedigree. But she won her maiden at Newcastle impressively and, as I don't set a lot of store in winning nurseries with fillies, I thought we would come here. She seems really well at the moment.
17:00 Doncaster - two runners
He ran well below par over 6f at York last time, but is clearly much better than that and I think 7f on decent ground will see him in a better light here. He was always on the back foot when starting slowly when second at Chelmsford the time before, and he can be competitive if at his best. I have been looking for a 7f nursery for him for a while, but options are limited.
His best form so far has been on the all-weather, which he moves beautifully on. So he has to prove his effectiveness on grass in a competitive nursery, but he goes into the race in good form after just being touched off at Kempton last time.
17:30 Chelmsford - Liberatum
Ran much better when third at Goodwood last time, and hopefully he can prove equally at home on this surface in what looks a competitive maiden. He is in the Horses In Training sale on Tuesday.