Timeform UK SmartPlays: Wednesday 22 May

Horses running
There is Flat action from Yarmouth and Kempton on Wednesday

Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets for Wednesday's Flat action at Yarmouth and Kempton...

"A strong sort, he could have a fair bit more to come this year..."

Timeform on Lexington Empire

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Swift Approval - 16:45 Yarmouth

Stuart Williams is starting to turn the corner after a slow start to the turf season and Swift Approval looks particularly well handicapped on the pick of his form. He's as low as he's ever been in the weights returned to turf, and did enough to suggest he's in reasonable form when fifth over a similar trip at Lingfield last time, just fading inside the final furlong after having every chance. With the yard back among the winners, he is well worth chancing in an open handicap, with the unexposed top-weight Mubhij feared most.

Lay
Capofaro - 17:55 Kempton

All eyes will be on Capofaro here, who has proved a revelation since sent handicapping, completing a hat-trick despite going badly right in the final furlong at Wolverhampton last time. However, a further 4 lb rise in the weights now leaves her 15 lb higher than when her winning run began, and she could prove vulnerable in what looks a competitive race of its type. One to take her on with is Rakastava, who has been expensive to follow so far but should be much happier now returned to the all-weather. Sent off at odds-on for his debut, he has left the impression that he is better than a mark of 66, and the step up to a mile on this surface could prove the catalyst now.

Smart Stat
Lexington Empire - 19:55 Kempton

22% - David Lanigan's strike rate with horses running over 10f+

Lexington Empire improved right the way through last season, winning three times in all, and landed some nice bets when proving better than ever to land a handicap at Chelmsford after seven months off last time. He went without the usual blinkers (again left off today) on that occasion, but didn't seem to miss them, always travelling well before quickening to lead over a furlong out and soon clear. A strong sort, he could have a fair bit more to come this year, and this looks a good piece of placing by trainer David Lanigan, who has a good record with his middle-distance performers.


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