Timeform US SmartPlays: Tuesday November 18

Timeform's US team have three tips for you for Tuesday night
Timeform's US team have three tips for you for Tuesday night

Timeform's team of experts pick out three bets for Tuesday night's racing from the USA...

"By contrast, King’s House won at course and distance in October and ran well here last time, and he looks a far safer proposition..."

Turf Paradise 20:53 - Dolphin Shorts

The third race at Turf Paradise is one of the more inviting on a low-key card. Eight fillies and mares are due to line up for this $6.6k claimer over five and a half furlongs on dirt, but Timeform form-based ratings have Grazen Gold and Dolphin Shorts comfortably clear. Neither has performed especially well in their most recent starts, but there have been excuses for Dolphin Shorts, who is fancied to bounce back here. The daughter of Langfuhr probably needs a good pace to run at and is likely to get one, with two or three pace-forcers in attendance.  

Zia Park 22:17 - Uncle Regal

Trainer Gudalupe Munoz looks to have found a decent opening for Uncle Regal in race 8 at Zia Park, a cheap claimer over five and a half furlongs. Uncle Regal has as good a chance as any judged on his second places at Ruidoso and here, and he can be forgiven a defeat on this track last time at a slightly longer distance and in stronger company. Uncle Regal has raced prominently when performing best, and none of his rivals looks likely to turn this into a real burn-up which will count against such tactics. A small interest is advised.   

Mountaineer 02:12 - King's House

One of the better races on a mundane Tuesday is the seventh at Mountaineer, a $20k Allowance over six furlongs on dirt (due off 02:12 GMT). With the highest-rated horse on Timeform form ratings on 72, that is not saying a great deal, however. That horse is Rumble, but Rumble has been well beaten on his last four appearances and the selection is instead the next horse in, King's House. By contrast, King's House won at course and distance in October and ran well here last time, and he looks a far safer proposition. He usually goes from the front, or near the front, and should not have too much pressure in that respect in this. 

Recommended Bets:

Race 3 Turf Paradise (20:53 GMT) win back #4 DOLPHIN SHORTS @ 4.216/5 or longer
Race 8 Zia Park (22:17 GMT) win back #7 UNCLE REGAL @ 4.57/2 or longer
Race 7 Mountaineer (02:12 GMT) win back #4 KING'S HOUSE @ 3.185/40 or longer

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