Timeform US SmartPlays: Wednesday November 19

Timeform's US team provide you with three bets
Timeform's US team provide you with three bets

Timeform's US team bring you a bet from three different venues on Wednesday...

This represents an easier task by some way for Squeeze The King and he is fancied to prevail. 

Some of the better bets come about by siding with horses on the back of a below-par effort. The idea is that the betting public over-reacts to such events, especially when there is nothing to question the horse's quality overall. There is no doubt that Hijaab would be forecast a good deal shorter than 4/1 third favourite for race 2 at Aqueduct today (due off at 17:49 GMT) were it not for a disappointing effort at Parx last time, when she was up with a strong pace. The Kiaran McLaughlin-trained filly has strong form credentials for this Maiden Special Weight judged on her splitting of Bernadine and Alwaysthinkinofyou - both of whom ran into the 90s in winning next time - at Monmouth in July the time before, and a reproduction of that should make her difficult to beat. The daughter of Tiznow should benefit from the slightly longer distance here to boot. 

Turf, dirt and synthetics come alike to Dos De Bastos, who looks to have been found a good opening in race 7 at Hawthorne (due off at 22:50 GMT). The surface is dirt, as it was when he won at Fair Grounds twice in the spring and back here in October. His ready defeat of Keep On Shining in the latter is just one of several bits of form which makes him the one to beat, while a rare modest run last time can probably be attributed to his being forced wide for much of the way. The forecast favourite Archybdancing is a notably consistent performer but is likely to need Dos De Bastos to underperform to come out on top this time.

Race 7, a $47.5k Allowance due off at 02:44 GMT, looks one of the more easily solved contests at Woodbine. At their best, Squeeze The King and Keen Gizmo dominate this in terms of form, and preference is for the former, who is back on the surface and at the distance of his best-ever performance. That was a fourth in the Grade 3 Ontario Derby here two starts back, when Squeeze The King was beaten less than four lengths by the useful Florida Won. His subsequent defeat on turf here can be excused, as he was slowly away and never got into it. This represents an easier task by some way for Squeeze The King and he is fancied to prevail. 

Timeform US SmartPlays:
Race 2 Aqueduct (17:49 GMT) win back #2 HIJAAB at 3.259/4 or longer
Race 7 Hawthorne (22:50 GMT) win back #7 DOS DE BASTOS at 3.55/2 or longer
Race 7 Woodbine (02:44 GMT) win back #2 SQUEEZE THE KING at 3.052/1 or longer

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