Timeform's US team suggest two backs and a lay on Wednesday...
The presence of three horses who usually race quite close up should ensure that Bird House has the set-up to suit her late-coming style...
McIlroy is a forecast favourite on the Morning Line for the second race at Belmont (18:51 BST) despite this representing a stiffer task than his wins at Gulfstream over the winter. All of Logan Street, Wind of Bosphorus and Unbridled Logic look his superior on what has been achieved of late, the last two having Logan Street back in fifth when second and first respectively on this course in September. All of that trio have an absence to overcome, but the odds are that at least one of them will put in a good effort, which makes McIlroy look vulnerable at the likely price.
Bird House and Run A Dubb Dubb locked horns at Aqueduct in March and do so again in the sixth race at Belmont (21:26 BST), when a different outcome seems likely. At Aqueduct, Run A Dubb Dubb was as fit as a flea and narrowly bettered Bird House, who was returning from a break and got well behind. Since then, Run A Dubb Dubb has turned in a poor effort, quite possibly feeling the effects of a busy spell, while Bird House now looks ready to return to her very best. The presence of three horses who usually race quite close up should ensure that Bird House has the set-up to suit her late-coming style.
Race 6 at Penn (01:16 BST) is an open-looking affair on paper, with the Morning Line going 3/1 the field, but on closer inspection this looks a good opportunity for Arrow Flynn to transfer his fairly useful form from Parx. She is a multiple winner on her home patch, including in March, and her defeat last time was narrow and gained at a higher level than this. The front two in the market, Course I'll Wynn and Cotton Blend, are not without their chances, but have several pounds to make up on the selection on Timeform form-based ratings if she is at her best.
Timeform US SmartPlays:
Win lay #2 MCILROY at 4.3100/30 or shorter in the 18:51 (BST) at Belmont
Win back #4 BIRD HOUSE at 3.02/1 or longer in the 21:26 (BST) at Belmont
Win back #6 ARROW FLYNN at 4.216/5 or longer in the 01:16 (BST) at Penn National