Timeform US SmartPlays: Tuesday November 25

Timeform's US team provide you with three bets
Timeform's US team provide you with three bets

Timeform's US team recommend two backs and a lay on Tuesday...

Fairly run-of-the-mill stuff in North America today, but we can get off to a good start by taking on the aptly-named Morning Line favourite Avoid in race 5 (01:28 GMT). This six-year-old gelding was in good form during the summer but has completely lost his way in his last three starts, being beaten by wide margins each time. With his lack of early pace another worry in this five-and-a-half furlong speed test, Avoid definitely looks like one for the layers in a wide-open ten-runner event.

The highlight of Mountaineer's evening meeting is the one-mile allowance contest on the dirt, carded as race 7 (02:12 GMT). Most of this field seem better on turf, but the likes of Savannah Star F F and Toe Tappin Fast bring good decent dirt form to the table, and preference is for the latter who had Savannah Star F F behind when they finished second and third in a similar race last time out. The swift pace saw Toe Tappin Fast to good effect in that race, and there should be enough early speed in here to enable her to go one better than last time.

Generally, you would expect lightly-raced, progressive-looking types  to have an edge over more exposed rivals in low-level US claiming races. There are a few exceptions, though, and in race 6 at Delta Downs (02:09 GMT) the short-priced forecast favourite Divided by Grace is making just his third start, having won a maiden claimer last time out. However, that win came in a slow time and the opposition was modest, so it could be worth taking him on with Pontchartrain, who has made twenty six starts but produced a career best on his first start for his current trainer last time out.

Timeform US SmartPlays:
Mountaineer race 5 (01:28 GMT) win lay #7 AVOID at 4.57/2 or shorter
Delta Downs race 6 (02:09 GMT) win back #8 PONTCHARTRAIN at 5.04/1 or longer
Mountaineer race 7 (02:12 GMT) win back #8 TOE TAPPIN FAST at 4.03/1 or longer

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