Timeform US SmartPlays: Tuesday June 24

Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Tuesday
Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Tuesday

Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Tuesday...

"The claimer in which Mindfulness finished second last time is proving strong, and she can go one better in race 7 at Presque Isle Downs (00:55 BST)..."

The first race at Presque Isle Downs (22:25 BST) is a good quality allowance contest and features three horses with proven form on a synthetic surface. Swiss Army Wife, Derby Eve and Now Hope head the Timeform form-based ratings, and it's easy enough to make a case for all three. There is one other in the race that it's more difficult to make a case for, and that is Bound. Timothy Hamm's filly has been running creditably in dirt races, but her Timeform ratings are some way below her rivals, and this is her debut on a synthetic surface. Given these doubts, her Morning Line price looks too short.

The claimer in which Mindfulness finished second last time is proving strong, and she can go one better in race 7 at Presque Isle Downs (00:55 BST). The third and fifth place finishers from that race have won since, improving their Timeform form ratings in the process. Prior to that, Mindfulness had won a similar contest and is at the top of her game at the moment. Today's $16k claimer is identical in conditions to the race that Mindfulness finished runner-up in last time, but in strict form terms, is actually a little weaker. She looks a good bet at anything around 3.5.

Mr. Green has lost his way a little since a good runner-up finish in April, but is taken to bounce back to form in Mountaineer's closing race at 03:04 BST. That good run was followed by two below-par efforts, though one of those was too bad to be true, and is probably best ignored. Mr. Green did show a little more on his last run, and recorded a good work over the track just last week. The significance of this shouldn't be underestimated, as Mr. Green had shown no works since February, and connections are obviously pleased enough with his current condition to work him on the track. Often these cheap claimers just go from race to race, being too fragile to take in works in between starts, and he could be set to return to form.

Timeform US Smart Plays

Presque Isle Downs race 1 (22:25 BST) win lay #8 BOUND @ 4.57/2 or shorter
Presque Isle Downs race 7 (00:55 BST) win back #5 MINDFULNESS @ 3.55/2 or longer
Mountaineer race 9 (03:04 BST) win back #8 MR. GREEN @ 4.47/2 or longer

http://btfr.co/114427702
 

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