Timeform US SmartPlays: Tuesday July 22

Although there are just seven runners in race 5 at Fort Erie (23:09 BST), there are plenty in with chances, and Regular Business is readily opposed. A winner over C&D last time out, that race was significantly weaker than today's event, and a Morning Line forecast of 4.0 for Regular Business looks on the short side. Much more will be need to take a hand in the finish of this contest, and with plenty running for us, a lay at around 4.5 is recommended.

Tikki's Humor has shown gradual progression in two starts to date, and can win at the third time of asking in race 4 at Presque Isle Downs (23:40 BST). A daughter of Distorted Humor, Tikki's Humor was a good second last time out, shaping nicely having been settled a bit too far off the pace. Despite being a bit too far out of her ground, she finished to good effect that day, and should go very close to breaking her maiden here.

Race 7 at Presque Isle Downs (00:55 BST) is a $7.5 k claimer, the same level that Little Drummer has competed at in his last two starts. This contest, however, is a good deal weaker in form terms than those previous two races, and Little Drummer has a strong chance of recording his second career win from just eight starts. Anything around 4.0 would be well worth taking.

Timeform US Smart Plays

Fort Erie race 5 (23:09 BST) win lay #2 REGULAR BUSINESS @ 4.57/2 or shorter
Presque Isle race 4 (23:40 BST) win back #5 TIKKI'S HUMOR @ 3.711/4 or longer
Presque Isle race 7 (00:55 BST) win back #6 LITTLE DRUMMER @ 4.03/1 or longer