Timeform US SmartPlays: Tuesday July 22

Timeform
22 July 2014

Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Tuesday

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Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Tuesday night's action...

"Tikki’s Humor has shown gradual progression in two starts to date, and can win at the third time of asking in race 4 at Presque Isle Downs..."

Although there are just seven runners in race 5 at Fort Erie (23:09 BST), there are plenty in with chances, and Regular Business is readily opposed. A winner over C&D last time out, that race was significantly weaker than today's event, and a Morning Line forecast of 4.0 for Regular Business looks on the short side. Much more will be need to take a hand in the finish of this contest, and with plenty running for us, a lay at around 4.5 is recommended.

Tikki's Humor has shown gradual progression in two starts to date, and can win at the third time of asking in race 4 at Presque Isle Downs (23:40 BST). A daughter of Distorted Humor, Tikki's Humor was a good second last time out, shaping nicely having been settled a bit too far off the pace. Despite being a bit too far out of her ground, she finished to good effect that day, and should go very close to breaking her maiden here.

Race 7 at Presque Isle Downs (00:55 BST) is a $7.5 k claimer, the same level that Little Drummer has competed at in his last two starts. This contest, however, is a good deal weaker in form terms than those previous two races, and Little Drummer has a strong chance of recording his second career win from just eight starts. Anything around 4.0 would be well worth taking.

Timeform US Smart Plays

Fort Erie race 5 (23:09 BST) win lay #2 REGULAR BUSINESS @ 4.57/2 or shorter
Presque Isle race 4 (23:40 BST) win back #5 TIKKI'S HUMOR @ 3.711/4 or longer
Presque Isle race 7 (00:55 BST) win back #6 LITTLE DRUMMER @ 4.03/1 or longer