Timeform US SmartPlays: Sunday June 22

Two of our SmartPlays on Sunday run at Belmont
Two of our SmartPlays on Sunday run at Belmont

Timeform's US team provide you with bets from Belmont and Monmouth on Sunday...

Profound has been competing in slightly better company than he faces in race 2 at Monmouth (18:15 BST), and that can be the only reason he's been put in at 4.5 on the Morning Line. His performances in those particular races have been a long way below the level required to win today, with plenty of his rivals possessing stronger form. Profound's lack of early pace is also a negative, and is probably one of the main reasons why this horse has only won once from 12 starts. Hit the lay button if he's anywhere around that forecast price, as it is way too short.

The Sunday action at Belmont is fairly run-of-the-mill stuff, but the turf stakes race at 19:53 BST is a decent enough affair. The forecast favourite is Sol the Freud, but he looks worth taking on, given that his only turf start came on his last run, and was a pretty abject display. The one to be on is Free Mugatu, who is making his three-year-old debut here, after a promising juvenile season. Free Mugatu recorded two Timeform form-based ratings last year that are better than anything else in this field, and although this is his first time on turf, he is a full-brother to a very proficient turf performer.

There are not many US-bred horses that appreciate going a mile and a half, but that's what they're asked to do in race 6 at Belmont (20:55 BST). These 'marathon' turf races, as they're known in the States, really play to the strengths of horses with European pedigrees, and this event throws up an outstanding contender in the shape of the ex-David Wachman-trained Silky. Silky's form in Ireland is a notch above her rivals in this particular race, and for all that her US debut in November was a tad disappointing, that has turned out to be a stronger race than it looked at the time. Provided she's fit enough after a layoff, Silky should take this allowance contest before stepping back up in class.

Timeform US Smart Plays:
Monmouth race 2 (18:15 BST) win lay #4 PROFOUND at 4.84/1 or shorter
Belmont race 4 (19:53 BST) win back #8 FREE MUGATU at 4.3100/30 or longer
Belmont race 6 (20:55 BST) win back #4 SILKY at 2.89/5 or longer

 

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