Timeform US SmartPlays: Saturday September 27

Our three US SmartPlays come from Woodbine
Our three US SmartPlays come from Woodbine

Timeform's US team bring you three bets from Woodbine on Saturday...

The first bet today of three at Woodbine comes in the fifth race (20:13 BST), a claimer over seven furlongs, where Machito aims to win his fifth race in six starts. For one with such a good win record under conditions identical to those he faces today, his starting odds have belied his chance each time and it looks a similar scenario today as he really ought to be favourite by our reckoning. He had a couple of today's rivals behind last time, including Morning Line pick Lucky Lotto, and there doesn't seem any obvious reason why those placings should be reversed here.  

In the seventh race (21:19 BST), an allowance race on the turf over nine furlongs, it looks worth taking a punt on Primordia at what look generous Morning Line odds of 11. She outran her odds in a better race than this two starts back, form that has worked out well, and then won a claimer over today's trip last time out with a performance by our reckoning not too far short of that despite conceding first run to the other placed horses. The opposition today isn't much tougher by the looks of it and she should be backed at anything around 7 or longer. 

The ninth race (22:27 BST) promises to be an all-action affair over five furlongs and the forecast odds look to have the likely protagonists the wrong way round. As Noted has been put in as a short-priced favourite after winning a maiden last time out but the time of that win was unexceptional and on her previous start at today's trip she had been beaten readily by I'm Just Sayin who started much the shorter price of the pair. I'm Just Sayin has shown better form since,  albeit unsuited by the slow pace last time out, and will be suited by the drop back to five furlongs. Morning Line odds of 3.5 appeal greatly.     

Timeform US SmartPlays:
Woodbine race 5 (20:13 BST) win back #9 MACHITO at 3.814/5 or longer
Woodbine race 7 (21:19 BST) win back #4 PRIMORDIA at 7.06/1 or longer
Woodbine race 9 (22:27 BST) win back #7 I'M JUST SAYIN at 3.613/5 or longer

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