Timeform US SmartPlays: Saturday September 13

Timeform
13 September 2014

Timeform's US team bring you their three best bets for Saturday

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Timeform's US team bring you their three best bets for Saturday night's stateside action...

"Don’t Leave Me has won both her races so far and was impressive stepped up to seven furlongs last time..."

In the sixth race (20:26 BST) at Monmouth Rolling Wind sets a fair standard in the two-year-old maiden over five and a half furlongs. His recent second over course and distance was one of two races on the day that were run considerably faster than the remaining races on the card and the fourth horse in that contest came out next time and franked the form in no uncertain manner. There's every chance that Rolling Wind could be a fair bit better than his current Timeform rating, and that rating is more than good enough to win a race of this type as it is.

Twelve runners are declared for the sixth (20:31 BST) at Woodbine, the Grade 2 Natalma Stakes for fillies on the turf, and it's probably fair to say few of the runners have much in the way of both form and potential. One that does is Morning Line favourite Isabella Sings, trained by Todd Pletcher and a winner at Belmont over six furlongs on her debut, but Don't Leave Me has won both her races so far and was impressive stepped up to seven furlongs last time. By top sire Lemon Drop Kid, she will be even better suited by the extra distance today, looks the best of these by some way on form shown so far and seems likely to get a fast pace to run at which will suit her hold-up style. Morning Line quotes of 4.5 look fair.

The ninth race (21:58 BST) at Monmouth ought to go to Magic Mesa and if he is anything like the 5 Morning Line that would represent very good value. Part of an entry, he has good winning form on the grass this year at around five furlongs, conditions he will face today, and he ought to have more than enough pace to get to the front as usual and see these off readily with the only other likely front runner Carey Princess dropping down from a mile.

Timeform US SmartPlays

Monmouth race 6 (20:26 BST) win back #3 ROLLING WIND @ 2.89/5 or longer
Woodbine race 6 (20:31 BST) win back #4 DON'T LEAVE ME @ 4.47/2 or longer
Monmouth race 9 (21:58 BST) win back #1A MAGIC MESA @ 3.814/5 or longer