Timeform US SmartPlays: Saturday October 18

Our final US SmartPlay comes from Belmont
Our final US SmartPlay comes from Belmont

Timeform's US team bring you a bet from three different venues on Saturday...

It might well be worth chancing the magnificently-bred Monoceros on his USA debut at Delaware today (race 7, 21:03 BST) even though he has never run on dirt before. His form for Pascal Bary looks a couple of notches above anything else in this this field has achieved, and though he acts well on turf as one would expect of a son of Giants Causeway, he has run two good races on a synthetic surface including a win at Deauville by 5 lengths. On overall form he really ought to be nearer even money, so the Morning Life forecast of 4 more than adequately reflects a doubt about the unfamiliar surface. 

The eighth race (21:42 BST) at Keeneland sees the second appearance in the States of Horsted Keynes who like our Delaware selection Monoceros is now with Graham Motion. His form for Roger Varian gives him a clear edge over this field and he has several Polytrack victories to his name. He ran perfectly well on his American debut at Presque Isle Downs and there is plenty of evidence in his pedigree - he is related to numerous horses that acted on different all-weather surfaces - to suggest that he has good chances of taking to dirt first time. He's a slightly risky proposition, but as with Monoceros the forecast odds - 13 in this instance - more than compensate.  

In the tenth race (22:14 BST) at Belmont Big Business might just be the business at forecast Morning Line odds of around 3.5. He has the best form in the race by some way by our reckoning and it is encouraging to see that as well as Saratoga he has very smart form at today's venue. His last win came at a mile but he's just as effective at six and a half furlongs as his second place at Saratoga three starts back shows and he can edge out forecast favourite Weekend Hideaway despite that one taking a drop in class.  

Timeform US SmartPlays:
Delaware race 7 (21:03 BST) win back #6 MONOCEROS at 3.613/5 or longer
Keeneland race 8 (21:42 BST) win back #2 HORSTED KEYNES at 8.07/1 or longer
Belmont race 10 (22:14 BST) win back #5 BIG BUSINESS at 3.412/5 or longer

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