Timeform US SmartPlays: Monday July 21

Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets
Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets

Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Monday night's stateside action...

"Casual Creeper has form over 2m+ in hurdle races in the US and Ireland. He’s also a horse in form, having run away with an extended-mile claimer at Penn National last time. With stamina guaranteed, he looks a solid choice..."

On a tricky day for punting in the US it may be advisable to keep stakes sensible, as the fields mainly fall into two distinct categories: large and ultra-competitive on the one hand, and very small on the other, making finding value difficult. Race 7 at Delaware (20:57 BST) probably lies somewhere between the two, and it could be worth siding with Winter Lady to take her second race for new connections, having won first-off-the-claim last time. Her new trainer, Jamie Ness, is adept at placing horses to advantage, and she looks to be on an upward curve.

Fierce Fawn took a step forward from her debut last time when finishing second in a reasonable maiden, and she has a good chance of recording her first win in race 2 at Mountaineer (00:23 BST). This turf maiden doesn't look the strongest and a repeat of that effort gives her every chance of going one better. Her main rival, I'm So Beautiful, ships in from a bigger track, and that could well help the price of Fierce Fawn as punters tend to latch on to this type.

The next race at Mountaineer is most unusual in American terms, as it takes place over a mile and three quarters on the turf. US horses are rarely, if ever, asked to run at this kind of distance, particularly the low-level sorts that are contesting this race. As such, stamina is an absolute must, and Casual Creeper has form over 2m+ in hurdle races in the US and Ireland. He's also a horse in form, having run away with an extended-mile claimer at Penn National last time. With stamina guaranteed, he looks a solid choice.

Timeform US Smart Plays

Delaware race 7 (20:57 BST) win back #2 WINTER LADY @ 3.814/5 or longer
Mountaineer race 2 (00:23 BST) win back #6 FIERCE FAWN @ 3.55/2 or longer
Mountaineer race 3 (00:46 BST) win back #5 CASUAL CREEPER @ 5.59/2 or longer

 

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