Timeform US SmartPlays: Friday June 20

Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Friday night...
Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Friday night...

Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Friday night...

"Bay of Biscay looks a good bet to take the maiden that opens Belmont Park’s Friday card..."

The best bet of today comes in the third race at Monmouth (18:48 BST), where Black Ana Splash is a confident selection. On the face it, Black Ana Splash has looked a tad disappointing in finishing fifth on both her 2014 starts. Closer inspection, however, reveals that either of those last two efforts would be good enough to win this race, based on Timeform form ratings. The fact that her back form suggests she's capable of an even bigger performance means that her rivals will have to step up considerably to stop her regaining the winning thread today.

Bay of Biscay looks a good bet to take the maiden that opens Belmont Park's Friday card (20:00 BST). Todd Pletcher's Giant's Causeway colt improved produced a good run when second at Monmouth Park last time. Ordinarily, Monmouth maidens wouldn't be as strong as those at the New York tracks, but the winner of that a particular race, Encryption, has gone on to finish second in G3 company, suggesting the form is above average for the track. There's unlikely to be anything of Encryption's calibre in this event, and Bay of Biscay should get off the mark.

There's little doubt that if Learn was able to recapture the form he showed for Aidan O'Brien back in 2012 that he would have a strong chance in the second race at Belmont. He has, however, looked a pale shadow of that horse in the two starts he's made in the US since leaving Ballydoyle. Those two runs were both spaced  around nine months apart, suggesting he's had his share of problems. He's now dropped into claiming company, and his forecast price appears to be based on past achievements rather than what he's currently capable of. He has to be laid at anything around 3.5.

Timeform US SmartPlays

Monmouth race 3 (18:48 BST) win back #2 BLACK ANA SPLASH @ 3.02/1 or longer
Belmont race 1 (20:00 BST) win back #1 BAY OF BISCAY @ 3.02/1 or longer
Belmont race 2 (20:31 BST) win lay #1 LEARN @ 3.55/2 or shorter

 

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