Timeform US SmartPlays: Saturday November 15

Timeform have three tips for tonight's US action
Timeform have three tips for tonight's US action

Timeform's US team pick out their three best bets for Saturday night's stateside action...

"In contrast Awesome Bandit looks a worthy favourite in the seventh at Delta Downs and must have very good chances of making all...."

Charles Town 00:29 - Ellies Tattle Tale [LAY]

In the second race at Charles Town there looks to be some value in laying Ellies Tattle Tale at around the forecast 3.5. That price would indicate that he either has the best form in the race or circumstances extremely favourable to his chance, but to our way of thinking he has neither. He's A Prize and Feet Included have better form, the latter winning last time out, while the likely pace scenario as played out by our TimeformUS colleagues might well leave Ellies Tattle Tale as something of a hostage to fortune. Their speed figures have him well down the pecking order too and though he has won three of his last five races those wins have come against much weaker opposition than he encounters today. 

Delta Downs 02:09 - Hollywood Script [LAY]

In the sixth race at Delta Downs Hollywood Script has the look of a beatable favourite. Henry Johnson Jr.'s stable is in a poor run of form and Hollywood Script is having his first run for him today having been claimed after a modest run at the track last time. On form and TimeformUS speed figures he has a fair bit to find with a couple of other runners, and in a race where there doesn't appear to be much pace his usual run style seems likely to put him on the back foot early dropping down in distance. He could well be finishing strongly, but on balance looks vulnerable against some speedier types.

Delta Downs 02:37 - Awesome Bandit

In contrast Awesome Bandit looks a worthy favourite in the seventh at Delta Downs and must have very good chances of making all. He's twice gone close here since shipping in on the back of a win at Evangeline Downs and today's company is a fair bit weaker. He's no stranger to success at the track, having won four times here around the turn of the year, making all or nearly all on each occasion, and there seems little doubt that he'll get his own way in front again with most of his opponents usually ridden with varying degrees of patience.  

Recommended Bets:

Race 2 Charles Town (00:29 GMT) win lay #3 ELLIES TATTLE TALE @ 3.613/5 or shorter    
Race 6 Delta Downs (02:09 GMT) win lay #3 HOLLYWOOD SCRIPT @ 3.613/5 or shorter
Race 7 Delta Downs (02:37 GMT) win back #9 AWESOME BANDIT @ 3.02/1/strong> or longer

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