17:40 Lingfield - Nomenklatura
It's a pity there are only seven runners in this, which makes the place market slightly unappealing, so it's a case of going win only with a filly who has yet to really get going.
Nomenklatura has run four times to date, but hasn't built on a promising effort on debut at Wolverhampton behind Starletina. She didn't look the biggest against the Godolphin filly that day, and there's a chance she just didn't pick up in soft ground at Doncaster last time, her action suggested so. So with a smallish frame and the mentioned action - I like her switching first time to the polytrack.
However, one angle I'm keen on here is another sire reference, and the sire in question is Archipenko. Quite a few of his horses like a trip, and they also have shown a real liking for poly'. Considering it is early days with the stallion, he has already produced 12 individual winners on the surface, so there's a big chance she can improve on anything we have seen so far.
18:10 Hexham - Mondlicht
With the name, Mondlicht could well have featured in Lord Rockingham XI's 'Hoots Mon', a chart hit back in 1958 - when hits were hits (one for the older reader) and bands were bands.
The horse himself clearly has ability; winning both his starts on the flat for Mark Johnston at Southwell. However, in his two hurdling runs to date, he's been well-backed both times at Fontwell and Newton Abbott - and in short, looks as though he doesn't fancy it.
He found nothing for pressure at the Devon track, beaten by Classic Colori - a horse he could have for breakfast at Southwell. Worryingly it was the same scenario a month later at Fontwell, and on both occasions he has traded at 1.3130/100 in-running.
On Tuesday, he steps up to 2m4f, and this staggers me. Hexham's finish isn't for a flashy ex-flat type, and one we've seen not able to get home at easier tracks. He might be around 2.1011/10 to back, and could trade a whole lot shorter in the run. You can choose the outright lay, or the braver route and get him even lower in-play.
Tuesday's Recommended Bets
Back Nomenklatura @ 6.05/1 in the 17:40 at Lingfield
Lay Mondlicht @ 2.1011/10 in the 18:10 at Hexham and lay in-running @ 1.3130/100