Alan tipped up the winner of the Nassau Stakes yesterday and has another two selections from Goodwood today...
"with the expected improvement to come I think she could be difficult to haul back in"
Mark Johnston tough filly can improve again
Mark Johnston is always worth following in the Goodwood handicaps, he won this last year and I think he has a good chance of taking it again with Julie Johnston, who would be a fitting winner for him. This two-year-old filly has that typical Johnston progressive profile, winning a weak race at Chelmsford before showing marked improvement to win her second race at York last time. She really toughed it out when winning at York, showing good fighting spirit when the challengers came. Today she carries a 6lb penalty for that success, which came over today's trip.
Landed weak 6f novice at Chelmsford City before showing a good deal of improvement as she doubled her account on handicap debut at York last time. Claims under a penalty.
|25/07/20||York||1/6||Flat||6f||Gd/frm||8st 11lbs||Silvestre De Sousa||8.6|
|02/07/20||Bath||3/7||Flat||5f 160y||Good||9st 2lbs||Franny Norton||4.24|
|17/06/20||Chelmsford City||1/8||Flat||6f||Std/slow||8st 12lbs||Franny Norton||4.16|
|03/06/20||Yarmouth||6/10||Flat||5f 42y||Firm||8st 10lbs||Franny Norton||13.44|
I think she is still on a workable mark and if Silvestre De Sousa can get her out in front again with the expected improvement to come I think she could be difficult to haul back in.
Cephus is better than his mark of 89 suggests
Brian Meehan's colt Cephus has a very interesting profile. He won on debut at Newmarket and was pitched directly into Group 1 company on just his second start where he was down the field in the Guineas. However, the fact they thought of him good enough to even run in that race suggests he must be a better horse than his current rating of 89 suggests. I thought he ran an eye-catching race when well backed before the off at Kempton last time out where he finished second and although he receives a 3lb increase for that performance, the handicapper may have underestimated him.
Newmarket maiden winner who resumed his progress upped in trip when second of 14 in 12f Kempton handicap 16 days ago. Not yet the finished article, so further progress likely.
|15/07/20||Kempton Park||2/14||Flat||1m 3f 219y||Slow||9st 1lbs||Jim Crowley||6.4|
|18/06/20||Ascot Golden Gates Handicap||6/14||Flat||1m 1f 212y||Soft||8st 7lbs||Jim Crowley||30|
|06/06/20||Newmarket (Rowley)||12/15||Flat||1m||Gd/frm||9st 0lbs||Jim Crowley||200|
|09/08/19||Newmarket (July)||1/9||Flat||7f||Good||9st 5lbs||Oisin Murphy||39.26|
Jim Crowley (who rode Cephus at Kempton) is on the favourite Al Qaqaa, who won well enough at Newmarket last time out but in all honesty going off at 4/7 he should do. So he probably didn't beat much, but he did it in a good time and undoubtedly will keep improving with racing. An opening mark of 88 shouldn't be beyond him but I think Cephus may just be too good for him today.
2020 (prior to this week) : -8.38pts
This week so far...
Staked: 8 Pts
Returned: 10.87 pts
2020 P&L -5.51 pts
2019 P&L +0.31 pts
2018 P&L +82.29 pts
2017 P&L +53.30 pts
2016 P&L +15.23 pts