Timeform UK SmartPlays: Wednesday 11 March

Racing at Kempton
There is all-weather racing from Kempton on Wednesday evening

Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets on Wednesday...

"This slightly longer trip should be right up her alley..."

Timeform on Believe In Love

Back
Burguillos - 20:20 Kempton

Burguillos ran well on his first outing for Luke McJannet when second at Wolverhampton last month, particularly given he never really settled. That form has received a boost with the fourth home going in subsequently, and with McJannet's charge having dropped to a workable mark of late, he looks well placed to get his head back in front in a weak race.

Lay
Mister Freeze - 19:50 Kempton

Mister Freeze is an infrequent winner but is regularly involved in the finish when racing at Southwell, and came out on top in a low-grade affair at that venue back in January. He is up 3 lb for that win and is anything but consistent away from Southwell however, so he is not an obvious type to follow up at a course he rarely tends to give his running at.

Smart Stat
Believe In Love - 17:50 Kempton

23% - Roger Varian's strike rate at Kempton since the start of the 2016 season

Believe In Love showed much improved form when switched to handicaps, finishing runner-up at Lingfield at the start of last month in a race she was unlucky not to win, before again finding only one too good at the same venue recently. This slightly longer trip should be right up her alley and, with further improvement anticipated, she looks well placed to open her account.

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