Timeform UK SmartPlays: Thursday 31 October

Timeform
30 October 2019

There is all-weather racing from Kempton on Thursday

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Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets on Thursday...

"The handicapper may have let him in lightly from a mark of 86..."

Timeform on Good Tidings

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Good Tidings - 18:40 Kempton

A quick look at Good Tidings' starting price on all three of his starts suggests that he is held in high regard, and he still looked to be learning on the job when making it two from two on the all-weather over a mile and a half at Newcastle last time. The handicapper may have let him in lightly from a mark of 86, sure to go on improving for a while yet, and the drop back in trip isn't expected to be a problem.

Lay
Dawaaween - 19:10 Kempton

Dawaaween is sure to be popular having opened her account on handicap debut over this C&D earlier this month, looking far more straightforward than had previously been the case, and she should have even more to offer. However, this looks a stronger race, and Daring Venture shaped better than the bare result on her own handicap debut last time. Her sole win came on the all-weather and she could offer some value ahead of the likely short-priced favourite.

Smart Stat
She's Got You - 14:30 Lingfield

23% - John Gosden's strike rate at LINGFIELD PARK since the start of the 2015 season

John Gosden does well at Lingfield and he fires three darts at this listed prize, but it is She's Got You that makes the most appeal. One of the least exposed in the line-up, she has progressed nicely this season, having easily won a backend minor event at Wolverhampton last season. She was only narrowly beaten in a similar event at Newmarket last time, rallying once headed in the final furlong, leaving the impression she has even more to offer, and has to be high on the shortlist here breaking from a good draw in stall 4.