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Timeform UK SmartPlays: Thursday 3 October

All-weather racing
There are three all-weather meetings in the UK on Thursday
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Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets on Thursday...

"...she is of interest her with a fully-fledged rider back in the saddle..."

Timeform on Canasta

Back
Canasta - 19:45 Wolverhampton

Canasta remains a maiden, but has shown enough ability to suggest she should be able to win races from this sort of mark, and shouldn't be given up on just yet. She was ridden by an inexperienced claimer at Chelmsford last month, leaving the impression she should have finished closer, not best positioned the way the race panned out and never nearer than at the finish. There should still be more to come from her and she is of interest her with a fully-fledged rider back in the saddle. Enzo is right at the top of his game and strikes as another obvious player.

Lay
Amaan - 15:15 Lingfield

Amaan is sure to be popular given he looked a good prospect when making a winning debut at Leicester last month, seeming clued up and not really fully extended to score with something in hand. He is already gelded, though, and was unfancied in the betting, and for those reasons he is worth taking on here. There are some well-bred newcomers from top yards in opposition, and it will be interesting to see how they fare in the market, while Rovaniemi found only a next-time-out winner too good on the turf track here last time and is open to any amount of improvement now.

Smart Stat
My Poem - 17:30 Chelmsford

2 - Sir Michael Stoute's number of winners in past 3 runnings

Sir Michael Stoute has won this race twice since 2016 and My Poem strikes as the type that will leave her debut run well behind. She still looks on the weak side, and is probably one more for next year, but she showed ability amongst greenness at Lingfield, slowly into stride and jumping the path before halfway and looking inexperienced in the closing stages. She is bred to be useful - half-sister to useful winner Not Never - and while this trip will likely be a minimum for her, she could be worth chancing for a yard that are doing well with its juveniles.

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