Timeform UK SmartPlays: Thursday 26 September

Newmarket
There is Flat racing from Newmarket on Wednesday

Timeform pick out their best back, lay, and smart stat bets on Thursday...

"...an opening mark of 83 may well underestimate him, so he should be backed accordingly..."

Timeform on Top Rank

Back
Wichita - 15:35 Newmarket

Wichita and Lord of The Lodge stand out on form but, in the anticipation of rather testing ground, the emphasis on stamina will play into the hands of the former, who is marginally preferred with fewer miles on the clock. He wasn't beaten far by a smart prospect at Doncaster last time and should have even more to offer on just his third career start. Persuasion created a big impression on debut and is worth another chance to progress despite disappointing at York.

Lay
Discovery Island - 13:50 Newmarket

Discovery Island has been well found in the betting on both of his starts to date - no surprise given his smart pedigree - and shaped with plenty of promise on debut on the July Course last month. However, he wasn't able to build on that at Sandown last time, and he is worth opposing again with Mascat and Andrew Balding's likely looking newcomer Thai Power a couple of big threats.

Smart Stat
Top Rank - 17:20 Newmarket

17% - James Tate's strike rate with handicap debutants

Top Rank maintained his unbeaten record after four months off when following up his Lingfield success at Thirsk when last seen in April. He did it in the style of one who has even more to come, too, not hard pressed to assert in the final furlong, and that form has worked out well. Indeed, it is a slight concern that we haven't seen him since, but an opening mark of 83 may well underestimate him, so he should be backed accordingly.

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