Timeform UK SmartPlays: Thursday 22 August

Horse at finish
There is Flat racing from Chepstow, Leicester and York on Thursday

Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets on Thursday...

"Having been gelded since his last start and in receipt of weight from most of his rivals he looks to have strong claims of breaking his maiden tag at the fourth time of asking."

Timeform on Baalbek

Back
Wejdan - 13:55 York

William Haggas has won this race twice in the last 10 years and doesn't often bring his horses up to York without a chance so it is extremely significant that he sends WEJDAN to the Lowther of the back of one start. She was weak in the market when making her debut at Newbury two weeks ago and was slightly slow away in a large field but was a ready winner despite having to come from a long way back. James Doyle gave her a patient ride, and he keeps the ride today, having only given her one tap with the whip for her to assert after making rapid progress, she looks a filly with plenty more to come. She is a good-bodied individual by Dabirism and has plenty of scope to improve as she strengthens up, she can take this for her shrewd yard on her way to Group 1 company before the season is out, with next year's 1000 Guineas another possibility.

Lay
When Comes Here - 15:25 Chepstow

A small field minor event looks to be between the three with experience to their names with it looking worth taking on WHEN COMES HERE. Lexington Rebel looks well capable of stepping forward from his debut effort now dropped in trip but the strongest appeal comes from Don't Stop Dancing off the back of his minor event winner at this track. He beat a subsequent winner that day and whilst he didn't cut much ice in the Richmond at Glorious Goodwood, he should have more than enough class to be able to give away a penalty in this contest.

Smartstat
Baalbek - 18:30 Leicester

22% - Owen Burrows's strike rate with handicap debutants

BAALBEK has improved with each start in minor company, with his fourth over C&D reading particularly well in this company. He made headway around two furlongs out that day before being forced to switch and kept on under an educational ride once his chance had gone. Having been gelded since his last start and in receipt of weight from most of his rivals he looks to have strong claims of breaking his maiden tag at the fourth time of asking. He returns with his yard in fine form and with Owen Burrows' good strike rate with handicap debutants, he has plenty to be confident about.

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