Through The Card: Windsor, Monday August 1

Timeform
01 August 2016

There is Flat racing from Windsor on Monday evening

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Timeform take you through the card at Windsor on Monday evening.

"He has a 5 lb hike in the weights to contend with here, but was arguably value for more than the official winning margin on that occasion..."

17:30 - Nafaath ran respectably when third on his most recent outing at Newbury and the handicapper appears to have taken a chance by dropping him 3 lb on the back of that effort. This is a weaker race than he has been contesting of late and he is entitled to be thereabouts with a visor now fitted for the first time. He is joined in the Placepot by Westerly, who was beaten less than two lengths when fourth at Newbury last time and gave the impression a return to this longer trip would be in her favour.

18:00 - Bellevarde made a most encouraging start to her career when third at Kempton in June and ran to a similar level when finding one good on her most recent outing at Nottingham. She has shown enough in those two outings to suggest she is up to winning a race of this nature and - 10 lb clear of those with previous experience on Timeform ratings - Bellevarde looks by far the most solid proposition with the Placepot in mind here.

18:30 - Fine 'n Dandy returned to form with a dominant success on his most recent outing at Chepstow, travelling powerfully throughout on the front end and quickly drawing clear as the field entered the final two furlongs. He has a 5 lb hike in the weights to contend with here, but was arguably value for more than the official winning margin on that occasion (eased in the closing stages) and should prove extremely difficult to beat if arriving here in the same form.

19:00 - September Stars showed improved form to get off the mark over this C&D last time, showing herself to far better than an opening mark of 80 and, with a significant rise in the weights sure to be imminent, connections have understandably taken the decision to turn her out quickly under a 6 lb penalty. The quick turnaround is an obvious concern, but trainer Ralph Beckett could hardly be in better form at present (eight winners from last 26 runners) and September Stars is expected to follow up in this fourth leg of the Placepot.

19:30 - Escalating had possible excuses when finishing down the field at Epsom last time, appearing ill at ease on the undulating track and possibly feeling the effects of his ready victory at Nottingham just seven days earlier. He has been given plenty of time to recover since that latest outing and - open to more improvement for a yard that has done well with similar recruits - he makes plenty of appeal with the Placepot in mind. He is joined by Taajub, who wasn't seen to best effect last time and is now just 1 lb higher than when successful at Lingfield in February.

20:00 - Julia Dream showed a fairly useful level of form when second on her most recent outing at Lingfield, keeping on well once headed in the final furlong and giving the impression she is well up to winning a similar event. She is more exposed than some in this field, but it is interesting that connections have passed on what looks a fair opening mark and Julia Dream is expected to open her account in this final leg of the Placepot.

20:30 - Dubawi Light wasn't seen to best effect when sixth on his most recent outing at Epsom, forced to deliver his challenge from further back than ideal in a slowly-run race and ultimately doing well to get withing five lengths of the better-placed winner. He can race off a mark 5 lb lower than when scoring at Kempton in November and deserves another chance to prove his effectiveness on turf here.

Recommendations:

Back Fine 'n Dandy in the 18:30 at Windsor

Placepot permutation:
17:30 - 1, 6
18:00 - 3
18:30 - 1
19:00 - 3
19:30 - 6, 9
20:00 - 7
4 lines

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