Through The Card: Newbury, Thursday July 21
Timeform take you through the card at Newbury on Thursday.
"The best bet in the race could be Danecase at the prices."
17:35 - The Ducking Stool was third in this race last year and won from just 1 lb higher over 2m here in October, so looks to have solid chances of making the places at least, dropping slightly in grade after a creditable fifth at Yarmouth in 0-74 company last time. Bamako Du Chatelet found his good run of form coming to an end at Doncaster last time, but is worth another chance to get back on track given that he is unproven on soft ground (wins have come on good/all-weather).
18:05 - A race that revolves around Deningy, who was purchased by Godolphin after a good debut in a conditions race at Ascot, a race which he was arguably unlucky not to have won after being badly hampered 2f out. That form is working out well, with the winner on the day Create A Dream improving to run fourth in the Albany at Royal Ascot next time, and the second past the post The Last Lion finishing second in the Norfolk and then winning a listed race at Sandown. Deningy was withdrawn after refusing to enter the stalls in May, but if those issues are now settled, he should be very hard to beat.
18:35 - Hedging bumped into one on nursery debut at Leicester last time, but showed improved form all the same, and is expected to run well with the potential for more to come given his progressive profile. Big Lachie has been highly tried early on in his career (ran in the likes of the Windsor Castle) but showed improved form on his nursery debut last time at Bath at a more realistic level, and with Jamie Osborne in top form at present (saddled a treble last night at Sandown) he is also worth including.
19:10 - Scarlet Dragon was a doubtful stayer at 12f here last time, but was suited by the relative test of speed at the trip and ran a career-best in the end to come out on top of some promising sorts. He could be worth chancing at the prices now back in trip, which is set to suit and favourite Both Sides looking short enough in the betting.
19:40 - With Thecornishcavalier seemingly holding very little chance on paper or in the market, this is strictly between the odds-on Red Napoleon, who should appreciate this drop in class after finding listed company a little too hot on his debut for Ralph Beckett last time, and The Gay Cavalier, who should really be booked for second on ratings, but has some sort of a chance if the favourite disappoints and does at least arrive here in form after a win at Epsom in a handicap.
20:10 - A tight finish to the Placepot but Peru is likely to find this a lot easier than her last two assignments, which have come in listed races, and she is narrowly preferred to Giveaway Glance, who is open to improvement but may be at her very best over further than a mile or in a more strongly run race (this small-field affair less likely to be a test).
20:45 - Danecase and Golden Wedding are closely matched on their latest outings over this C&D and could be the pair to focus on. Golden Wedding came out on top that day, and is currently favourite here, but was well positioned that day (which could not be said of Danecase) and is now 4 lb worse off with her old rival here, which means the best bet in the race could be Danecase at the prices.
Back Scarlet Dragon in the 19:10
Back Danecase in the 20:45
17:35 - 2, 6
18:05 - 1
18:35 - 6, 7
19:10 - 1
19:40 - 1, 2
20:10 - 5
= 8 lines