Through The Card: Lingfield, Wednesday January 20

There is racing at Lingfield on Wednesday
There is racing at Lingfield on Wednesday

Timeform take you through the card at Lingfield on Wednesday.

"...the booking of George Baker on Thomas Blossom for the first time catches the eye, the rider potentially ideally suited to a gelding who frequently travels strongly under restraint before coming through with a late run."

12:30 - Belle Mare Plage sets the standard in this maiden but it isn't an exacting one, and there's a strong chance Fearbuster will improve past her given she's a well-bred (by Fastnet Rock out of Group 2 winner Jewel In The Sand) filly from a very good yard (Hugo Palmer) who showed ability on her recent debut. Unfortunately, from a betting point of view, the market agrees and she's now comfortably odds-on.

13:00 - Byron Flyer isn't as strong a favourite as Fearbuster in the second maiden on the card, and the money for Russian Bolero is interesting, but he still looks the one to beat under Adam Kirby. Byron Flyer, a half-brother to two winners, including fairly useful hurdler/chaser Callisto Moon, ran to a fair level when fourth in a bumper at Market Rasen on his debut when last seen in May and hails from a stable (Ian Williams) among the winners.

13:35 - Steal The Scene is a worthy favourite for this seven-furlong handicap following his win at Kempton and close fourth at Chelmsford, though he's probably not Placepot banker material given he has a couple of blobs on his overall record. We'll also take the mare Be Royale who is Timeform top-rated (was a close second to Natural Nine in a better race at Chelmsford in November) and hails from the Mick Appleby yard that has shows a £39 profit to a £1 level when having one runner at a Flat meeting since the start of the 2011 season.

14:10 - Harlestone Hopes has been well supported for this race, with his pedigree (brother to useful performer at up to two miles Harlestone Times) and the presence of Adam Kirby again in the saddle no doubt the main influencing factors, but he was pretty laboured last time and is going to need to step up on form. There's no doubt jockeyship is a crucial factor in most races, especially middle-distances races on the all-weather, and the booking of George Baker on Thomas Blossom for the first time catches the eye, the rider potentially ideally suited to a gelding who frequently travels strongly under restraint before coming through with a late run. Thomas Blossom is worth backing is a pretty average race of its type.

14:45 - A competitive four-runner contest, which means we'll need to take (at least) two for our Placepot perm and keep our fingers crossed. The two that appeal are Aguerooo, who has been in fine form in the last month, winning three times (including over 6f here) and finished second, and Alshaqee, who was strong in the betting to make a winning handicap debut last time but his chance was ended when he met trouble before the home turn, his saddle slipping and then allowed to come home in own time.

15:20 - With it presumed that George Baker rides Freddy With A Y because of his connection with the Gary Moore yard, this can go to Chelwood Gate (often ridden by Baker, including for his last two wins) who appeared to get on well with today's partner Oisin Murphy when a good third to Bold Prediction over C&D last time. Bold Prediction has since followed up, while the runner-up that day Billy Bond won on his next start too, and Chelwood Gate wasn't even seen to best effect on that occasion given he would have preferred a stronger gallop. It's debatable whether Chelwood gate will get a strong pace today, especially now Hercullian Prince is a non-runner, but he should at least get an even one and may possess the strongest turn of foot anyway (lack of pace is a bigger concern for El Tel who pulled last time, admittedly over further, and connections now reach for the hood).

15:55 - A tricky finale as, while Exalted is the form choice after winning two of his last three starts, he may get taken on for the lead by at least one of Mercury and Jonnie Skull. The only horse in the race who's been held up more often than not in recent starts is old boy Hierarch.


Recommended bets:

Back Thomas Blossom in the 14:10
Back Chelwood Gate in the 15:20


Placepot permutation:
12:30 - 4
13:00 - 1
13:35 - 1, 8
14:10 - 1
14:45 - 1, 5
15:20 - 3
=4 lines

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