Through The Card: Carlisle, Thursday October 20

There is racing from Carlisle on Thursday
There is racing from Carlisle on Thursday

Timeform take you through the jumps card at Carlisle on Thursday.

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14:10 - With Above Board a non runner, Aintree My Dream is now odds-on to make a winning hurdling debut, and also make Dan Skelton's first runner at this track a winner. After finally getting off the mark in Irish points last January, Aintree My Dream made a winning start in bumpers at Warwick in April, beating next-time-out winner Misterton. There's no reason why he won't take to this new discipline, but should he fall, unseat or bomb out, he'll take a lot of Placepot players out with him, so it makes sense to bank on clear second favourite Catching Shadows (6) instead.

14:45 - Wilton Milan isn't one for maximum faith but he's slipped to a career-low mark of 118 and there was enough encouragement on his return (second of three finishers at Fontwell) to suggest he has good winning claims here. However, he isn't the only one to have been given a real chance by the handicapper, however, as the same applies to Tikkandemickey (6) and Spanish Fleet, and the bits of early money for the consistent Tikkandemickey suggests maybe he's the one to successfully get us to the third leg in the Placepot.

15:20 - Backing Cape Arrow (11) requires a leap of faith as he's presumably been hard to train (run just once since February 2015), but he still remains with potential as a hurdler based on his Flat form, so could be worth chancing at double-figure odds. We better stick another one in there for Placepot purposes just in case Cape Arrow disappoints, though, with last month's Perth third Cruachan (9) chosen over the quirky current favourite Up And Go.

15:55 - Nakadam (10) had put his best foot forward for the Mike Smith yard when last seen in the spring and still looks on a fair mark based on the pick of his French form - he narrowly sets the standard on Timeform ratings. The J. P. McManus-owned Benzel looks the progressive one in the field and is feared along with veteran Whats Up Woody, though it could also be worth including Ballyben (7) who makes his second start (well backed on his return) for the in-form Malcolm Jefferson stable.

16:30 - Irish Point winner Oldgrangewood (2) made a solid start to his career under Rules for Dan Skelton last season, winning at Ayr from four starts, and is unlikely to be wanting for fitness on his return to action. He remains open to progress and should have too many guns for Presenting Rose and Tomkevi.

17:00 - While Chidswell and Road To Gold also appeal as interesting chasing debututants, Cloudy Dream (2) is still expected to win this race before going on to better things. He was comfortably the best of these best over hurdles, perhaps unlucky not to beat Ch'tibello in the Scottish Champion Hurdle last April given he was victim of a rare lapse in judgement by his rider Noel Fehily, and there should be plenty more to come from him after just seven starts (four over hurdles).

17:30 - A bumper to close the card. Al Shahir is a half-brother to a winner of a similar race and represents Dan Skelton, so it would come as little surprise were he to see off the established Dubai Angel at the first time of asking. Alfred Roller fetched £50,000 after finishing third in a point, so has to be of interest, too.

Recommendations:

Back Cape Arrow in the 15:20
Back Oldgrangewood in the 16:30

14:10 - 6
14:45 - 6
15:20 - 9, 11
15:55 - 7, 10
16:30 - 2
17:00 - 2

Placepot permutation:
4 lines


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