Through The Card: Ayr, Monday May 23

There is Flat racing from Ayr on Monday
There is Flat racing from Ayr on Monday

Timeform take you through the card at Ayr on Monday.


"A 2 lb rise in the weights makes life tougher here, but it could easily have been more granted a better passage last time..."

14:00 - Navajo War Dance showed a fairly useful level of ability in five starts as a two-year-old and the form of his third behind subsequent Craven Stakes winner Stormy Antarctic at Newbury in September leaves his rivals with some 10 lb to find on Timeform ratings. He failed to justify favouritism when fifth on his only subsequent start at Haydock, but is clearly better than he was able to show that day and, with the step up to 1¼m likely to see him in an even better light, Navajo War Dance is expected to make a successful start for the Karl Burke yard.

14:30 - Little Belter has been knocking on the door since joining the Keith Dalgleish yard, not beaten far when third at Wolverhampton last month and producing a similar level of form to finish second in a first-time visor at Hamilton recently. He should be winning before long and his consistent profile makes him a sound selection in the Placepot, a comment that also applies to Roy's Legacy. He bounced back from a couple of uncharacteristically poor efforts with a good fourth at Thirsk last time and has dropped to a mark only 2 lb higher than when successful at Lingfield in December.

15:05 - Sir Domino heads the field on Timeform ratings after a comfortable success at Hamilton earlier this month, building on the promise of his return at Thirsk and giving the impression he could yet be capable of better. He appears to be most effective in the soft ground he encounters here and, although a 5 lb rise in the weights makes life tougher, Sir Domino is fancied to register the third victory of his career. He is joined in the Placepot by Mo Henry, who returned to his best with a win over the C&D last time and represents a yard who could hardly be in better form at present.

15:40 - Millefiori is the obvious selection after an emphatic victory over this C&D five days ago, improving on the form she had produced in four previous starts and value for more than the official winning margin. The conditions of that race mean she escapes a penalty here and, as previously touched upon with Mo Henry, trainer Adrian Keatley has been in terrific form recently. He saddled a first Group 1 winner with Jet Setting in the Irish 1000 Guineas yesterday (a fourth winner from his last seven runners) and his Millefiori looks impossible to oppose in the Placepot.

16:15 - Cymraeg Bounty produced a career-best on his first start for this yard at Haydock last month and remains relatively unexposed after just eight career starts. The step up to this longer trip is a slight concern (best efforts have come at around 1m), but he should strip fitter for that most recent outing and holds more appealing claims than most in this field. Weapon of Choice is beginning to look dangerously well-handicapped and he is also considered with the Placepot in mind, having showed his well-being with some fair efforts over hurdles and on the all-weather in recent months.

16:45 - Erik The Red fared better than the bare result at York last time, suffering trouble-in-running as the field entered the final three furlongs and finding himself with too much to do once in the clear. A winner of his final three starts as a three-year-old, that effort still represented a significant career-best and he looks to have improved again over the winter. A 2 lb rise in the weights makes life tougher here, but it could easily have been more granted a better passage last time and Erik The Red can tee himself up for a crack at something like the Royal Hunt Cup with victory in the final leg of the Placepot.

17:15 - Emblaze was a decisive winner at Southwell in February and produced an even better effort in defeat when second on her most recent outing at Musselburgh. That form leaves her rivals with some 4 lb to find on Timeform ratings and, with the possibility of a fairly easy lead here, she rates a confident selection in the final race on the card.

Recommendations:

Back Sir Domino in the 15:05 at Ayr
Back Erik The Red in the 16:45 at Ayr

Placepot permutation:
14:00 - 5
14:30 - 4, 5
15:05 - 2, 10
15:40 - 9
16:15 - 1, 3
16:45 - 1
= 8 lines

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