Sunday Irish Racing Tips: Outlander the value in the Drinmore

Ruby Walsh and Willie Mullins can combine for success with Outlander
Ruby Walsh and Willie Mullins can combine for success with Outlander

Fairyhouse hosts one of the early highlights of the Irish jumps season today and Tony Keenan has been through their triple Grade 1 card to find the best bets...


"No More Heroes might be the best horse and most likely winner but Outlander stands out as the best value at 6.05/1. Timeform have him top-rated and he won the deepest maiden chase of the season when jumping well."

2 Points Back Outlander @ 6.611/2 or bigger in the Fairyhouse 14:40

There's plenty of classy horses down to run this afternoon but if we see one as promising as Tombstone we'll be doing well. The Gordon Elliott-trained, Gigginstown-owned novice hurdler took his unbeaten streak to three yesterday and it could be worth seeking out some early prices for him to win at Cheltenham in March. Bellshill runs him close but he looks the most exciting young horse to run so far this season.


Fairyhouse 12:40 - Rashaan can overcome break

An in-season break of 77 days shouts problem but Colin Kidd has a good reason for Rashaan's absence; he simply didn't want to run him under a double penalty and this Grade 3 has been the plan. He looks a classic 'out of sight, out of mind' horse and form lines give him every chance with the favourite. Not only was he wildly impressive in both his hurdles runs but he also has scope to improve having run just once on the flat and is worth backing win and place.

Miss Tata has the best form but not by much and there are negatives with her; she flashed the tail last time in a race that fell apart while she's very short around 1.75/7. Of the rest, it wouldn't be the great surprise to see Thywillbedone outrun her price; headgear seemed to improve her last time when she showed a good attitude.


Fairyhouse 13:40 - Snow Falcon to be best of the rest

Arctic Fire is the second highest rated hurdler in Ireland on 169 and looks a pretty good odds-on shot; things went wrong in the Lismullen last time and he still won.

The ones chasing him up in the betting are more dubious. Alpha Des Obeaux got a form boost yesterday but he looks a three miler and lacks a run. Similar doubts apply to the fragile Clondaw Court and his form amounts to little while Gwencily Berbas has a stamina doubt and went backwards from his return last season; these Fleming horses are clearly very forward but may not progress.

It seems reasonable to expect a career-best from Snow Falcon who shouldn't be the fifth choice of the market. He's hard fit unlike a few of his rivals and his form, notably when a closing fifth off a slow pace in the Neptune, leaves him with little to find with all bar Arctic Fire. He's a good bet to place.


Fairyhouse 14:40 - Outlander the value play

No More Heroes might be the best horse and most likely winner but Outlander stands out as the best value at 6.611/2. Timeform have him top-rated and he won the deepest maiden chase of the season when jumping well and he has a blend of speed and stamina that means 20 furlongs is his optimum trip.

Free Expression trades around the same price but I expect Outlander to uphold the form of their last run; Free Expression was strong in the betting that day off a break and looks in need of further in any case while he may be running here rather than in Saturday's beginners as connections had Alvisio Ville for that race.

Outlander is quirky so the assistance of Ruby Walsh is a help but he knows how to win - six wins from 11 career starts - and looks the best bet on the card.


Fairyhouse 15:10 - Forever Gold looks a big price

Tulsa Jack would have been a strong fancy for this but for running in the Troytown where he jumped poorly having struggled to go the gallop. It's not as if he was pulled up early either as he went deep into the race but would have a big chance if reproducing his Cork National form.

In a weak event, Forever Gold is worth a small bet. He's been out of form lately but this might have been the aim; his trainer is local to the track and the cheekpieces are back on. The 8yo would have gone close off 108 when falling at the last here in January and is only five pounds higher now while his subsequent second to Heathfield (now 23lbs higher) with Tulsa Jack in fourth reads well.


Recommended Bets

1 Point Back Rashaan @ 7.87/1 or bigger in the Fairyhouse 12:40
1 Point Place Back Rashaan @ 2.01/1 or bigger in the Fairyhouse 12:40
1 Point Place Back Snow Falcon @ 6.411/2 or bigger in the Fairyhouse 13:40
2 Points Back Outlander @ 6.611/2 or bigger in the Fairyhouse 14:40
2 Points Place Back Outlander @ 2.01/1 or bigger in the Fairyhouse 14:40
0.5 Point Back Forever Gold @ 14.013/1 or bigger in the Fairyhouse 15:10
0.5 Point Back Forever Gold @ 4.03/1 or bigger in the Fairyhouse 15:10


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