Sunday Irish Racing Tips: Desert can lay down the Law in the Rockingham

It's the third day of the Irish Derby meeting and Tony Keenan has found five horses to support.
It's the third day of the Irish Derby meeting and Tony Keenan has found five horses to support.

Tony Keenan advised two winners from three selections at Gowran Park last Sunday and is back with five horses to bet on the final day of Irish Derby weekend...


"That looks strong sprint handicap form as a number of those down the field have already run well since and Desert Law was quite the eye-catcher; uncharacteristically slow away, his rider lost an iron early and he did well to finish so close having met trouble."

1 Point Back Desert Law @ 9.08/1 or bigger in the Curragh 16:55

Dermot Weld has made his living around the periphery of the Irish pattern in recent times, mopping up Group 2s and 3s with well-placed horses, but Harzand has put him squarely back at the top table this season in winning a pair of Derbies.

In concert with Fascinating Rock, he has given the trainer three Group 1 wins in 2016, his best total on the flat since 2002 and given that it is only June, thoughts of adding to that total in races like the Arc and various Champion Stakes are realistic.


Curragh 15:15 - Take two against this handicap field

The handicaps over Derby weekend have been a little disappointing and this seven-furlong race is no exception but it is worth taking two small darts against the field. Sea Wolf hits an interesting niche angle being a first time starter for Ger Lyons and owner David Spratt and they have a history with having their stable switchers ready to run well first time; Unsinkable and Synopsis are but two recent examples.

His old form with Michael Dods makes him look well-treated and he is suited by some cut. Chestnut Fire is also worth a small play. He shaped well on his first start of the season at Leopardstown before meeting some traffic in a falsely-run race at Gowran and is worth another chance to deliver on that earlier promise.


Curragh 15:45 - Spy has been missed by the market

This race is a classic case of group race inflation and the connections of the three fillies getting black type out of it can count themselves lucky as it hardly better than a good conditions event. Still, that shouldn't stop us having a bet and Spy Ring stands out in this regard. She was only eighth in an equivalent race at Naas last time but that doesn't tell the whole story as she looked booked for third when coming with a good run in the closing stages only to meet significant trouble.

That form gives her the edge on both Seafront and Magical Fire who are surprisingly ahead of her in the betting and she is worth backing win and place with the favourable place terms of the nine-runner field.


Curragh 16:55 - Desert Law to show some dash

There is little point in trying to get too cute in these valuable Irish sprint handicaps as they have been dominated by English runners in recent years and it is often a case of finding the raider that is best-treated and/or best-suited to the conditions. Kimberella is the obvious one after an eye-catching second in the Epsom Dash but sectional times suggest that race was run to suit and I prefer the claims of Desert Law who finished behind him at Musselburgh.

That looks strong sprint handicap form as a number of those down the field have already run well since and Desert Law was quite the eye-catcher; uncharacteristically slow away, his rider lost an iron early and he did well to finish so close having met trouble. It has the run of a horse rounding into form and with his mark dropping to a lenient-looking 98 he can go well.


Curragh 17:55 - Paris can elude the handicapper

Eddystone Rock is a worthy favourite for the final race after a six-length win last time but a 12lbs hike is plenty and similar comments apply to Maknificent who is also up 12lbs for winning a race that was run to suit last time.

At the prices, the thriving Elusive In Paris is worth supporting. He caught the eye at Cork last time in a better race than this, coming home well off a slow pace despite meeting trouble, and drops in trip and grade are in his favour. He's been a massive improver since being acquired out of a claimer by John Feane and his progression might not be done with yet.


Recommended Bets

0.5 Point Back Sea Wolf @ 6.05/1 or bigger in the Curragh 15:15
0.5 Point Back Chestnut Fire @ 10.09/1 or bigger in the Curragh 15:15
1 Point Back Spy Ring @ 6.05/1 or bigger in the Curragh 15:45
1 Point Place Back Spy Ring @ 2.26/5 or bigger in the Curragh 15:45
1 Point Back Desert Law @ 9.08/1 or bigger in the Curragh 16:55
1 Point Back Elusive In Paris @ 8.07/1 or bigger in the Curragh 17:55


Flat season P+L: +8.8 points


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