Punchestown hosts the Morgiana Hurdle this afternoon as part of seven-race card and there is competitive action at Cork too. Tony Keenan has selections at both tracks...
"Nambour's chase debut in a deep race at Galway was flawless and he was value for thrice the winning distance of four lengths and it is reasonable to expect improvement for the run given his trainer."
There was a bit of frustration here last week with Mick Jazz and De Plotting Shed getting beaten after hitting in-running lows of 1.3130/100 and 1.192/11 respectively but hopefully some readers will have taken the hint with Master Of Light. That one was recommended as a place bet but in the absence of Samcro won at a BSP of 10.72.
Punchestown 12:40 - Fruits can provide the Glory
After Rain looks a candidate to be overbet off the back of connections and comes with question marks; he can be too keen and jumped poorly last time. Near the bottom of the weights, Fruits Of Glory is interesting. His hurdles mark has dropped from an initial 123 to 112 and he was an eye-catcher in the same race that After Rain ran in last time.
Having attracted support, he was making his move into things before three out before stumbling badly and losing momentum. Of the rest I can see cases for Solita and Bashful Beauty but Fruits Of Glory is the most overpriced.
Punchestown 13:45 - Nambour the Gigginstown value
Gigginstown catch some flak for having so many runners in these graded novices - they have six of the eleven in the two such races today - but their willingness to run them against each other (do they have any choice?!) often creates value in the perceived second and third strings. That looks the case here and I really like the claims of Nambour.
His chase debut in a deep race at Galway was flawless and he was value for thrice the winning distance of four lengths and it is reasonable to expect improvement for the run given his trainer. Disko is a horse with a big reputation and not much to back it up; this step up in trip may not suit given his free-going ways and the form of his debut win has been devalued. A Toi Phil was fine on debut but no better.
Cork 14:30 - Rebel can make up for lost time at Cork
One has to be careful when delving back into years' old form but Another Rebel won a hot handicap on his penultimate start over hurdles back in 2013 with the likes of Balnaslow, He'llberemembered and Usuel Smurfer chasing him home.
One could argue that effort is from the dark ages at this point but his 2016 chase runs suggest he retains all his ability and there was plenty to like about his run behind Draycott Place here last month over two miles, out-paced early in the straight but staying on well in the closing stages. This step up in trip should be ideal in a race that is wide-open with Oiche Mhaith Boy perhaps his main danger.
Punchestown 14:50 - Up in trip will suit Monalee
Turcagua has been a problem horse with just four bumper runs across two and a half years and it makes sense to watch to see if he retains ability. The Storyteller had his form boosted when Moulin A Vent won here yesterday but good ground might be the key to him and I prefer Monalee. He caught a pair of tartars in his two bumper runs in Consharon Boy and No Comment and given he shapes like such a stayer did well to be competitive over shorter trips. The extra half mile looks a big plus here and he rates the best long-term prospect in the field.
Cork 15:35 - Dysios to place again
A frequent selection in his column, usually for a place, Dysios again looks a bet in this two-mile handicap chase as all he does is hit the frame. After having a prep run on the flat this looks a good spot for him as these Irish two-mile handicap chases are weak and there are plenty of disappointing sorts in opposition. Some of his novice form, placed efforts though they may be, makes him look fairly treated off 130 and the pace of this race should set up for him with plenty of these typically going from the front.
1 Point Back Fruits Of Glory @ 24.023/1 or bigger in the Punchestown 12:40
1 Point Place Back Fruits Of Glory @ 6.611/2 or bigger in the Punchestown 12:40
2 Point Back Nambour @ 4.216/5 or bigger in the Punchestown 13:45
0.5 Point Back Another Rebel @ 15.014/1 or bigger in the Cork 14:30
0.5 Point Place Back Another Rebel @ 4.57/2 or bigger in the Cork 14:30
1 Point Back Monalee @ 7.87/1 or bigger in the Punchestown 14:50
1 Point Place Back Monalee @ 2.35/4 or bigger in the Punchestown 14:50
1 Point Place Back Dysios @ 3.185/40 or bigger in the Cork 15:35
National Hunt Season P+L: +0.2 points