Sunday Irish Racing Tips: Make a date with Tinder

There's flat action at Naas today and that is the focus of Tony Keenan's attention.
There's flat action at Naas today and that is the focus of Tony Keenan's attention.

There are flat and jumps cards at Naas and Cork respectively this afternoon and Tony Keenan has been through both in search of winners...


"Racing on the wrong side as the race developed, her jockey had to use her up to switch over near the business end but she soon came back on the bridle and seemed sure to place but for stamina ebbing away in the finish."

0.5 Point Back Tinder @ 13.5 or bigger in the Naas 15:10

Ascot provided some of the best racing of the season yesterday but there was an unsatisfactory element to the day with the races on the straight track heavily influenced by track position just as they had been on the Leopardstown card of Irish Champions Weekend. Biases like these are never desirable, much less so on big days, and both tracks will need to work to rectify them for 2017.

Punters playing at Naas this afternoon might spot another bias with horses coming wide into the straight off the ground track being favoured. The received wisdom is that a low draw is best here but on slower going it often pays to swing over to the stands side with Pat Smullen being the best exponent of it in the weighing room. I wouldn't let a high draw put you off your fancy this afternoon.


Naas 14:05 - Seal the Deal with Solomons

Spirit Of Valor put up a big effort judged on sectionals on debut last Sunday, his strong finish anything but cheap late gains, and is the one to beat if backing that up. There are doubts with him though; he got reminders early last week and as a son of War Front will hardly be suited by the softening ground. Solomons Seal is solid after a good debut effort against experienced horses from a bad draw and that form is working out while his proven ability on soft is a plus.


Naas 14:35 - Madame to hit the frame

Connections of Madam Bounska will be disappointed that she's yet to win a race after eight starts and that losing run is likely to continue today but both her best efforts have come over six furlongs with cut in the ground and she was plainly unsuited by the drop to a slowly-run five last time. There are plenty with potential in this field, notably Alluringly and Betty Loch, but they need to improve to win a maiden while the one with the best form (Wayside Flower) hasn't matched her early season efforts since. Placing here may not take as much as it seems.


Naas 15:10 - Make a date with Tinder

As is often the case in these nurseries, a few runners look harshly treated off runs in non-handicaps but it is hoped Tinder is not one such after a fine effort in a Group 3 last time. Racing on the wrong side as the race developed, her jockey had to use her up to switch over near the business end but she soon came back on the bridle and seemed sure to place but for stamina ebbing away in the finish. This drop to six furlongs will suit, she is proven on the ground and while the handicapper put her up 10lbs for her last run she is improving at a rate of knots after a patchy start to the season.


Cork 15:25 - Diablo will be suited by drop in trip

Tell Us More's first run for Gordon Elliott is the most interesting aspect of this race but he's long been a tricky sort and it may take more time for the trainer to get to know his quirks. At the prices, Mr Diablo is worth a small play. He looked badly campaigned last season as he raced mainly over trips that stretch him and I've long thought of him as a two-miler. Even over longer distances, his form including a second to the well-treated Avant Tout suggests he has some scope off 133 and he often goes well fresh.


Naas 17:25 - Ground and track ideal for Soul Searcher

Some of the fancied horses in this have doubts around them - Shall We has been out of form and Sea Swift needs to improve - and while Hibiscus caught the eye when a promoted second at the Curragh last Sunday going back on soft ground is unlikely to suit. The filly that finished ahead of her Soul Searcher does not deserve to be twice her price. Proven on soft ground, she is likely to be suited by the greater emphasis on stamina provided by this track and comes into the race in fine form.


Naas 17:55 - Chapter Seven can end time in the wilderness


The closing October Handicap is not the race it has been in previous years with plenty of disappointing sorts in the field. Master Ring seems the most likely winner and the handicapper could certainly have been tougher on him for his Limerick win on debut for Mick Halford but at a massive price Chapter Seven is worth a small bet. Though generally disappointing in his three seasons with Ger Lyons, he looks a horse that has been struggling with his rating and the handicapper has finally relented and dropped him to 90 for this. The last time he was down at that mark he was winning races and there was a glimmer of promise on his run off a break at Fairyhouse last time.


Recommended Bets

0.5 Point Back Solomons Seal @ 8.27/1 or bigger in the Naas 14:05
0.5 Point Place Back Solomons Seal @ 2.47/5 or bigger in the Naas 14:05
0.5 Point Place Back Madame Bounska @ 5.59/2 or bigger in the Naas 14:35
0.5 Point Back Tinder @ 13.5 or bigger in the Naas 15:10
0.5 Point Place Back Tinder @ 4.03/1 or bigger in the Naas 15:10
0.5 Point Back Mr Diablo @ 7.613/2 or bigger in the Cork 15:25
0.5 Point Back Soul Searcher @ 16.015/1 or bigger in the Naas 17:25
0.5 Point Back Chapter Seven @ 26.025/1 or bigger in the Naas 17:55


Flat Season P+L: -0.4 points


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