Timeform UK SmartPlays: Sunday 17 November

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Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bet on Sunday afternoon

Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets on Sunday...

"...should have much more to offer this season..."

Timeform on The Two Amigos

Back
The Two Amigos - 14:40 Fontwell

The Two Amigos was very progressive sent chasing last season, winning three of his five starts, showing he stays strongly when winning over three and a half miles at Exeter in December. He shaped as though in need of the run on his return from eight months off back over hurdles at Uttoxeter last month, but he went with plenty of zest, and that should have put him spot on for this return to fences. He will be much more at home under this sort of test, and should have much more to offer this season.

Lay
Al Dancer - 13:50 Cheltenham

Al Dancer is sure to be popular here but Getaway Trump is strongly fancied to reverse the form. The former was a convincing winner of a novice chase over this C&D at the Showcase meeting last month, but he was likely very fit for that reappearance, whereas Getaway Trump left the impression he would definitely come on for the run. He tanked along - traded as low as 1.12 in running on Betfair - before the lack of a run told, and he looks set to take high rank amongst the 2m novice chasers this season.

Smart Stat
Politologue - 14:25 Cheltenham

28% - Paul Nicholls's strike rate with chasers at up to 2m3f

Last season's JLT winner Defi du Seuil is sure to be popular, but he likely has bigger plans down the line - is entered in the King George at Kempton - and the drop back to 2m isn't sure to suit, even in testing conditions. Therefore, it is Politologue who is taken to come out on top, his second-place finish to Altior in the Queen Mother Champion Chase last season the best piece of form on offer, and his record fresh - and in testing conditions - makes him a big player here.

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