Timeform UK SmartPlays: Saturday 5 October

Horse running
There is Group 1 action at Newmarket on Saturday
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Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets on Saturday...

"... she is fancied to follow up before having her sights raised further..."

Timeform on Eva Maria

Eva Maria - 13:40 Newmarket

Eva Maria looked a good prospect when opening her account at Thirsk in August and, though she disappointed on her next start at Pontefract, she wasted little time getting back on the progressive path, winning a handicap in the style of a smart sort at Ayr last time. That was her first try at a mile and a quarter, and she saw the longer trip out well, storming clear in the closing stages and recording a fast closing sectional. There should be even more to come from her, and she is fancied to follow up before having her sights raised further.

Raeeb - 16:00 Newmarket

This looks a deep minor event and, though Raeeb won in good style on debut, and almost certainly has improvement in him, he could be worth opposing under a penalty with some likely-looking newcomers in opposition. The one that leaps off the page immediately is Vatican City, who is a brother to several winners, including including 2000 Guineas/Irish 2000 Guineas winner Gleneagles. Aidan O'Brien doesn't always have his juveniles fully wound up for their debuts, but the market will likely reveal more and he is an intriguing runner.

Smart Stat
Faylaq - 14:35 Ascot

25% - William Haggas's strike rate with horses running over 10f+

Faylaq has a mouth-watering pedigree, the third foal of a Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes winner Danedream, and he is now starting to live up to it, looking a pattern-class performer in the making at Kempton last time. He seemingly hasn't been the easiest to train, but he travelled like a smart type on that occasion, and reportedly wants a bit of cut in the ground. Conditions should be ideal for him here and he is expected to progress past these.

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