Northumberland Plate 2016: Timeform's runner-by-runner guide

The Northumberland Plate takes place at Newcastle on Saturday
The Northumberland Plate takes place at Newcastle on Saturday

Timeform bring you their runner-by-runner guide to Saturday's Northumberland Plate at Newcastle...

"Did well to finish a short-head runner-up to No Heretic in the Chester Cup having been drawn very wide, and is respected after having a private gallop around the track earlier this month."

Northumberland Plate
Newcastle
Saturday June 25, 15:40



Gang Warfare Simon Crisford - Has won his last four starts on the all-weather, enjoying excursions to Lingfield, Southwell and Wolverhampton. Still on an upward curve, despite finishing ninth to No Heretic in the Chester Cup last time.

Angel Gabrial Richard Fahey - Won this race in 2014 and was a gallant fourth last year when attempting to defend his title. Not disgraced when eighth in the Chester Cup and shaped as if still in good form when third to Moonrise Landing in listed race at York last time.

Seismos Marco Botti - Third in listed race at Nottingham in April but below form in first-time blinkers when a well-held eighth of nine to Mizzou in the Group 3 Sagaro Stakes at Ascot last time. Drops in class today.

Nearly Caught Hughie Morrison - Ran well in defeat when second to Amour de Nuit at Chelmsford last time, and should relish the return to a longer trip having been third in this race last year. However, done no favours with the widest draw of all (usually races prominently).

Notarised Mark Johnston - Won a minor event at Chelmsford in March and ran well when third to Kinema in a handicap at Goodwood in May. Run best excused when well below form behind same rival in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes at Royal Ascot, going well when not clear run early in straight.

Arch Villain Amanda Perrett's - Progressive sort who has returned from injury with two wins, making it four victories from his last six starts when winning a minor event at Lingfield when last seen in February. Blinkers re-applied.

Antiquarium Charlie Appleby - Recorded a hat-trick in early-2015 but has not added to those wins since. Off nine months and gelded before his reappearance, shaping as if needing the run when six lengths fourth of seven to John Reel at Newmarket last time. Acts on tapeta.

Seamour Brian Ellison - Shaped as if retaining all of his ability on his reappearance, getting himself into contention from a poor position before tiring as though in need of the run. BHA mark of 99 not prohibitive judged on the form of his Ascot success from last season. Fifth in this race last year.

No Heretic Nicky Henderson - Well beaten in a handicap at Royal Ascot last week but soft ground not in his favour and better judged on his Chester Cup win in May (holds several of these on that run). Only 4 lb higher here and capable of bouncing back.

Polarisation Charlie Appleby - Progressed well for Mark Johnston last season, winning four times in July and August, and ran well on his debut for new yard on reappearance at Epsom earlier this month. Step back up in trip in his favour.

Sunblazer Kim Bailey - Completed a hat-trick at Kempton in January and Wolverhampton and Lingfield in February. Well held in the Ascot Stakes at Royal Ascot last time but not one to discount with the return to tapeta in his favour.

My Reward Tim Easterby - Progressive four-year-old who beat the re-opposing Moscato at Haydock last month, though did benefit from the run of the race. Has flourished since being stepped up to this trip for new connections this season.

Nakeeta Iain Jardine - Did well to finish a short-head runner-up to No Heretic in the Chester Cup having been drawn very wide, and is respected after having a private gallop around this track earlier this month. Hasn't been out of the first two in his last five starts.

Gabrial The Hero Richard Fahey - Cheekpieces and longer trips has the making of him, recording wins at Southwell and Lingfield in December. No real win threat when fourth behind No Heretic and Nakeeta in Chester Cup last time but unwise to rule out further improvement.

Moscato Sir Mark Prescott - Looks to have hit his ceiling or thereabouts, but his other qualities still shone through, principally the fact he never short changes, when fading late on in the Ascot Stakes last week. Held by My Reward on their Haydock run last month. First-time blinkers.

Steve Rogers Roger Varian - Only twelfth when a disappointing 7/2 favourite in the Chester Cup but had previously looked progressive and capable of bouncing back from that below-form effort, especially given his profile (six wins from his last ten starts).

Gavlar William Knight - Won at Goodwood and Kempton (twice) in 2015 and creditable fourth to Kinema at Goodwood last time, leading inside final two furlongs but no extra close home. Consistent sort but not an awful lot of room for manoeuvre from his current mark.

Tommy Docc Keith Dalgleish - Won three times in 2015 but bettered that form in stronger races at both Newmarket and Goodwood later in the season. Below form both starts this year (four months apart), but the drop in grade here should encourage a revival.

Hardstone Michael Dods - Won at Dundalk and Ayr in 2015 and improved on his reappearance when third at Newmarket in May. Track perhaps not ideal when below form last time, so effort best excused, but wide draw here makes life tough (normally races prominently).

Saigon City Declan Carroll - Quickly stepped up in trip for new connections this season and improved for his reappearance when winning a 15-runner event at York last time by one and three-quarter lengths from The Cashel Man. No certainty to reproduce that career-best but not one to take lightly from a 4 lb higher perch. Wide draw.

Timeform Northumberland Plate 1-2-3
1. Seamour
2. Polarisation
3. Nakeeta

Timeform Analyst's Verdict
Seamour wasn't beaten far when sixth in this race last year and, likely to be spot-on following his reappearance at York, Brian Ellison's charge earns the vote. Polarisation made a bright start to 2016 when runner-up at Epsom and will be a big threat if coping with this stamina test, while Nakeeta is taken to reverse Chester Cup placings with No Heretic and also play a part in the finish.

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