Alan Thompson is back in the saddle today after an extended break and he thinks he has found a selection weighted to win at Windsor and an interesting runner at Pontefract that has traded low in running, in six of its seven starts...
"Castorienta is top rated in the race off a mark of 68, along with Ocean Legend but has a 20lb pull in the weights over her rival."
Windsor 18:30 - Castorienta 9/4
Windsor 18:30 - Castorienta 9/4 Betfair Sportsbook
Castorienta is the clear picks at the weights in this seller and priced at 9/4, she has already been supported opening up originally at 3/1 on the Sportsbook, she has to be the selection. Castorienta is top rated in the race off a mark of 68, along with Ocean Legend but has a 20lb pull in the weights over her rival.
She has also been dropped 2lb by the handicapper despite running well in her recent starts, putting in a fair effort to finish third at Brighton before finishing runner up last time at Kempton. I will be very surprised if the selection is still 9/4 at the off.
Pontefract 16:00 - Mambo Paradise Back to Lay @ 50% BSP
On the face of it this looks a very competitive handicap, but I am prepared to go with Mambo Paradise who was just touched off last time, she traded at 1.031/33 in running at Chester that day on good to firm ground over 7.5 furlongs after being backed into favourite. I believe, this is a better trip for her, two of her three wins have been over this trip (albeit both on the AW) and her other win was over 5f at Musselburgh on her racecourse debut.
In six of her seven race career though she has traded in running at 50% of her BSP (Betfair Starting Price). I would like to think that about 5.59/2 would be a good price to back her on the Exchange and then place an in running lay at 50% (3.259/4) to recover my stake, leaving me a free bet in case she gets caught on the line again!
Back to Lay Mambo Paradise - 16:00 Pontefract
Back Castorienta @ 9/4 - 18:30 Windsor (Sportsbook)